TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elena Rybakinaof Caty McNally, Elena Rybakina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$508,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Caty McNally16c311,114$49,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,734.8873239.5%289 W · 443 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Caty McNally20c10,146$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.6612452.4%65 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Caty McNally15c6,171$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.5163144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Caty McNally21c6,100$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.545036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Elena Rybakina80c6,013$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.556651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Elena Rybakina80c5,432$4,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.4475046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Elena Rybakina79c4,815$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.2352744.6%235 W · 292 L+30.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Elena Rybakina80c2,222$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.410751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Caty McNally1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Caty McNally19c1,768$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.995,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Caty McNally19c1,553$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Caty McNally20c1,457$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.742,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Caty McNally9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e2…6610backed Elena Rybakina80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick75cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Caty McNally4c1,144$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.041,2058%96 W · 1,109 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Caty McNally10c1,109$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.532,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf62…54d4backed Caty McNally3c1,011$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.323318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Caty McNally19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19060643.1%261 W · 345 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Caty McNally16c833.89$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.252,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Caty McNally21c800$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16588749.8%442 W · 445 L-22.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Caty McNally10c726.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.311,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Caty McNally27c725.93$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965728.1%16 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x387e…3653backed Caty McNally5c682.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Elena Rybakina78c645.16$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.941,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Caty McNally18c631$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.582536%9 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd2…2393backed Elena Rybakina80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Caty McNally20c524$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.81,50537.7%568 W · 937 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f92…dec0backed Caty McNally20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010445.2%47 W · 57 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Elena Rybakina72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.59,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd3…43aebacked Caty McNally20c483.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.681414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Caty McNally19c475.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.411,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Caty McNally20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Caty McNally18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Elena Rybakina78c274.36$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3635360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef22…a0fdbacked Caty McNally20c265$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Caty McNally20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Caty McNally20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Caty McNally22c245.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9384857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Caty McNally20c225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4590454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0662…89eebacked Caty McNally19c213.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Caty McNally11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Elena Rybakina80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Caty McNally20c197.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4422821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Caty McNally16c186.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.152,07944.4%923 W · 1,156 L-52.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Caty McNally20c153$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65044%22 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Caty McNally20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Caty McNally21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.548637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Elena Rybakina78c143.59$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5921856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Elena Rybakina78c141$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0244151.9%229 W · 212 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Caty McNally21c140$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Elena Rybakina78c125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Elena Rybakina80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2570857.5%407 W · 301 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Caty McNally21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.651835.1%182 W · 336 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Caty McNally21c119$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Elena Rybakina79c103.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7533550.7%170 W · 165 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Elena Rybakina76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Caty McNally20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025249.2%124 W · 128 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Elena Rybakina76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.771,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Elena Rybakina80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2035961.6%221 W · 138 L+40.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Elena Rybakina76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2473951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1930…691cbacked Caty McNally20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014243%61 W · 81 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Caty McNally22c91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd423…0dacbacked Caty McNally27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Elena Rybakina79c73.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.441,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Elena Rybakina73c66.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Caty McNally19c65.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Elena Rybakina73c63.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.382250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Caty McNally20c62.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Elena Rybakina80c62.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.417146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Elena Rybakina80c61.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2228237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c8…a24abacked Caty McNally25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511560%69 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Caty McNally26c59.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.423842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe997…61b6backed Caty McNally17c59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36926.1%18 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Caty McNally20c51.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0554746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Elena Rybakina76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Elena Rybakina80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5707…14c0backed Elena Rybakina80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102161.9%13 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Elena Rybakina76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Caty McNally20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013057.7%75 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd5…805abacked Elena Rybakina79c37.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.874868.8%33 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Elena Rybakina79c36.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.661,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…133cbacked Elena Rybakina78c32.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.13158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Elena Rybakina78c28.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1930055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Elena Rybakina78c25.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6535379.3%280 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick78cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…8b42backed Elena Rybakina80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5645…c127backed Elena Rybakina80c23.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.773964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Elena Rybakina76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Elena Rybakina78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2314761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed Elena Rybakina75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.520552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda59…6630backed Elena Rybakina80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53565.7%23 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Elena Rybakina80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.531161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.