Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6d25b02af835bc950569b8e4378fe26d45b869a502264a833b02c26b7a0716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 57c | 324.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 60c | 270.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 37c | 263.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 38c | 260.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 44c | 255.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 264 | 41.3%109 W · 155 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 55c | 235.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 213.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 6c | 204$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 192.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 42c | 177.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 169$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 30c | 164.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 158.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 48c | 147$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 146.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 53c | 125.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 62c | 124.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 40c | 120.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…121ebacked Yes | 39c | 119.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 59c | 116.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 110.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 61c | 110.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked Yes | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 41c | 96.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 34c | 95.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 77c | 91.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 63c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 15c | 88.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 63c | 82.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 36c | 80.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 49c | 75.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 64c | 70.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed No | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 63.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 37c | 61.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 21c | 57.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 58c | 57.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 54c | 57.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 65c | 56.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 49c | 51.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 40c | 49.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 31c | 47.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 45.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 30c | 45.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 50c | 44.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed Yes | 40c | 44.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 32c | 43.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 64c | 42.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7565backed Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 49c | 40.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 67c | 37.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 41c | 36.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 67c | 36.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 35.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 68c | 33.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 36c | 33.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 56c | 32.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…50ccbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked No | 60c | 28.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 53c | 26.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 65c | 26.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 67c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked No | 61c | 22.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 65c | 22.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed No | 54c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 115 | 19.1%22 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 20.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…9bf5backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 65c | 19.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 65c | 19.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed No | 68c | 18.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c217backed No | 69c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…b8fabacked No | 63c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.