Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b72500ed2b9fd5eeaa114afa11628c9683b73d64250b7a138787324b7d33fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof USC Trojans, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked USC Trojans | 38c | 10,980$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.11 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 66c | 9,497$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans | 13c | 5,487$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed USC Trojans | 6c | 3,949$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked USC Trojans | 21c | 2,396$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.05 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed USC Trojans | 13c | 2,051$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 64c | 1,946$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.03 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 80c | 1,459$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 65c | 1,378$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.37 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked USC Trojans | 25c | 1,250$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed USC Trojans | 20c | 1,240$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 885.3$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed USC Trojans | 19c | 766$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 74c | 576.34$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed USC Trojans | 31c | 525$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed USC Trojans | 26c | 462.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed USC Trojans | 29c | 409.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 60c | 349.59$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked USC Trojans | 16c | 348.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked USC Trojans | 8c | 312.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans | 29c | 310.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed USC Trojans | 5c | 309.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed USC Trojans | 19c | 253.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 80c | 228.67$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed USC Trojans | 19c | 206.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 79c | 202$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked USC Trojans | 10c | 199.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed USC Trojans | 43c | 183.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC Trojans | 27c | 169.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 68c | 165.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed USC Trojans | 40c | 165$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed USC Trojans | 41c | 162.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed USC Trojans | 18c | 150.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed USC Trojans | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed USC Trojans | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USC Trojans | 18c | 104.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked USC Trojans | 38c | 102.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked USC Trojans | 18c | 100.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked USC Trojans | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…7e49backed USC Trojans | 26c | 99.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 70c | 99.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed USC Trojans | 32c | 96.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Trojans | 19c | 93.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked USC Trojans | 37c | 91.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…22f1backed USC Trojans | 40c | 82.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed USC Trojans | 18c | 73.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed USC Trojans | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed USC Trojans | 37c | 57.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed USC Trojans | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked USC Trojans | 28c | 47.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed USC Trojans | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed USC Trojans | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked USC Trojans | 40c | 38.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 31.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…3cfcbacked USC Trojans | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Trojans vs. Iowa Hawkeyesthis page
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-10.5)USC Trojans won
- USC Trojans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.