MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4479bbd0175be5a3cc31f0a8d7e83374b653630f956545b4f0dccf88d27b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 1,527$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.01 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed SSG Landers | 50c | 1,200$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 642$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.76 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 633.89$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 46c | 525.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 428$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 354$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed SSG Landers | 49c | 345.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 61c | 316.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed SSG Landers | 49c | 307.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SSG Landers | 46c | 293.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 287.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 270.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed SSG Landers | 48c | 206.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 61c | 198.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 191.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed SSG Landers | 50c | 185.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked SSG Landers | 32c | 179.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 31c | 154$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 68c | 149.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed SSG Landers | 45c | 142$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 133.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SSG Landers | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 116$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed SSG Landers | 46c | 106.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 106$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed SSG Landers | 49c | 103.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed SSG Landers | 46c | 101.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Doosan Bears | 24c | 98.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 91.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 90.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 90.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 85.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…22eabacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 81.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked SSG Landers | 49c | 72.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed SSG Landers | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed SSG Landers | 47c | 65.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed SSG Landers | 44c | 60.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed SSG Landers | 41c | 58.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 46c | 52.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SSG Landers | 46c | 50.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed SSG Landers | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed SSG Landers | 48c | 49.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed SSG Landers | 47c | 48.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked SSG Landers | 46c | 48.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 48.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SSG Landers | 47c | 40.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…cba5backed SSG Landers | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…9d25backed SSG Landers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 36.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 35.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed SSG Landers | 62c | 33.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 80c | 32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 30.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 28.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 27.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed SSG Landers | 46c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed SSG Landers | 46c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed SSG Landers | 48c | 21.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.