MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1128b20e060cd9ab3cb78ab1860b4062396f5ea60fc94d7666404e44da712aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 2,000$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.41 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Samsung Lions | 3c | 1,967$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 1,303$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.6 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 832.35$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.83 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 800.48$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 774.87$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 733.14$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.14 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 607.98$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.35 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 67c | 602.08$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kia Tigers | 39c | 477.27$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.14 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 425.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 73c | 390.71$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 358.65$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Kia Tigers | 46c | 305.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…8d62backed Samsung Lions | 16c | 265.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Samsung Lions | 5c | 249.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 235$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 233.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 216.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 203.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 35c | 157.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 154.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 38c | 152.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 150.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…ea92backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Samsung Lions | 19c | 142.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 79c | 140.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 136.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 133.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 118.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Kia Tigers | 70c | 114.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 113.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Kia Tigers | 13c | 110$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 99.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kia Tigers | 27c | 97.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 81.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 75.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 73.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 60.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 59.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Samsung Lions | 20c | 50.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 45.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 43.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 66c | 42.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 39.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 38.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 38.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 35.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa3…4899backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…8255backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 36c | 32.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…8327backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 24.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed Kia Tigers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…a738backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.