Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Queens (NC) Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ec312e80114e3047dbfa6e41d985180f871ff5e1d2fcd44e3ced2b2748d4e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Queens (NC) Royalsof Eastern Kentucky Colonels, Queens (NC) Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 79c | 8,260$6,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 20c | 5,182$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 7c | 2,518$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.06 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 43c | 2,324$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 37c | 617.82$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Queens (NC) Royals | 66c | 598.94$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.24 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 26c | 515.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 34c | 444$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Queens (NC) Royals | 57c | 420.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 24c | 344.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 27c | 281.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 70c | 226.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Queens (NC) Royals | 65c | 218.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 71c | 205.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 50c | 200.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…ef29backed Queens (NC) Royals | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Queens (NC) Royals | 65c | 161$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 35c | 154.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Queens (NC) Royals | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 35c | 77.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 22c | 71.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Queens (NC) Royals | 60c | 69.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 66c | 61.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 33c | 40.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Queens (NC) Royals | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdea7…6b46backed Queens (NC) Royals | 68c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…b2d8backed Queens (NC) Royals | 80c | 15.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.