TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Liege: Luca Staeheli vs Jack Loge

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jack Logeof Luca Staeheli, Jack Loge
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Luca Staeheli21c16,626$3,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,501.618,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Jack Loge63c5,760$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.214,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fd…b51abacked Luca Staeheli35c5,690$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006446.9%30 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Jack Loge49c3,977$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.9433256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Luca Staeheli22c3,501$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.4323723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Luca Staeheli32c2,504$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.765648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Luca Staeheli52c2,060$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.294,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Luca Staeheli42c2,050$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.331,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Luca Staeheli52c1,835$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.794,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11ee…e6c6backed Jack Loge49c1,358$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.743647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jack Loge79c1,334$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.476,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Luca Staeheli48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.878840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Jack Loge52c1,032$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.512,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jack Loge74c1,000$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.869,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luca Staeheli31c982.02$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.818,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Jack Loge66c977.89$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.891,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Luca Staeheli27c962.09$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8231443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Jack Loge47c831.06$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.371,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jack Loge48c793.37$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.925,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Luca Staeheli53c681$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.411,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Luca Staeheli27c603.61$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.052,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Jack Loge47c600$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.262,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Jack Loge74c596.09$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0912863.3%81 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Jack Loge48c512.15$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.144,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Luca Staeheli51c449.96$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4826441.7%110 W · 154 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5940…94c8backed Luca Staeheli37c444.9$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.327930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Luca Staeheli52c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.644,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5160…ac0bbacked Jack Loge73c376.07$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6110469.2%72 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Luca Staeheli44c373.55$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.656,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Luca Staeheli40c338.38$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.294,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Luca Staeheli49c332.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1730436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Jack Loge53c332.23$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.221,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jack Loge47c280$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.41,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luca Staeheli33c259.34$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.135,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Jack Loge47c234.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.611,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Jack Loge49c232.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5748842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luca Staeheli30c231.85$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.436,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Luca Staeheli53c231.04$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.451,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Jack Loge39c222.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.511,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Jack Loge63c216.1$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.961,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Jack Loge49c209.82$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0192237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jack Loge48c186$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.584,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jack Loge48c183.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.281,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aca…5d2bbacked Jack Loge57c180.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.899357%53 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Luca Staeheli53c168.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Luca Staeheli52c168.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Jack Loge49c167$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1733055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Luca Staeheli58c166.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.244,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Luca Staeheli53c165.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7716755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Luca Staeheli34c161.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4818537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jack Loge61c158.72$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.251,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Jack Loge64c156.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2712843%55 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Jack Loge72c156$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.287374%54 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Jack Loge48c153.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Jack Loge48c153.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9933152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3192…a121backed Jack Loge66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.524161%25 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Luca Staeheli21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.568430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed Luca Staeheli34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019051.6%98 W · 92 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa477…c9c2backed Luca Staeheli52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Luca Staeheli21c141$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3128221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Luca Staeheli30c135.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.781,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jack Loge48c133.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.23,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Luca Staeheli51c133$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8396844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Luca Staeheli52c132.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Luca Staeheli52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6524951.4%128 W · 121 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Jack Loge62c113.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.941,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Luca Staeheli51c104.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.447251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Luca Staeheli63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6353043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Luca Staeheli51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Luca Staeheli60c99.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6039469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7734…017dbacked Luca Staeheli51c98.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9914158.9%83 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Luca Staeheli18c92.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.218038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Luca Staeheli33c91.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0232726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5028…3ad7backed Luca Staeheli54c91.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Luca Staeheli56c91.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.153,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Luca Staeheli53c86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5855748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Jack Loge48c86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7223742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Luca Staeheli52c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e50…dd7dbacked Jack Loge73c81.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.327963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40bb…567dbacked Luca Staeheli25c79.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86ff…5ea8backed Jack Loge63c79.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Luca Staeheli37c75.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Jack Loge80c74.23$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8516467.1%110 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Luca Staeheli34c73.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.113,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Jack Loge72c72.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Luca Staeheli62c72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6443950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Luca Staeheli38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1173951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6903…b2edbacked Luca Staeheli62c64.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb475…c136backed Jack Loge71c61.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Jack Loge66c60.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1818855.3%104 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Jack Loge48c59.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.573,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luca Staeheli51c58.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.787,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Jack Loge64c56.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.751,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Luca Staeheli26c52.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7878957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Jack Loge66c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5272651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Luca Staeheli33c50.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Luca Staeheli52c50.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.345751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Luca Staeheli44c49.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.451,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Jack Loge66c49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Jack Loge41c48.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2925237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.