Champions League · resolved market
Will AEK win on 2026-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa527ec7f0f541ea423fadf444699d180ce8b7876c4afb05b09f991c48ea2f7f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 34c | 45,000$15,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,365.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed No | 34c | 6,714$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 66c | 6,001$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.25 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 4,511$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.68 | 358 | 32.7%117 W · 241 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 66c | 4,428$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.52 | 517 | 46.2%239 W · 278 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 4c | 3,663$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 2,627$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.5 | 704 | 46.3%326 W · 378 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 66c | 2,576$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 79c | 2,069$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.75 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 67c | 1,848$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.94 | 542 | 39.5%214 W · 328 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 1c | 1,619$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 428 | 50.2%215 W · 213 L | +25.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 1,588$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.81 | 973 | 32.2%313 W · 660 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…9d99backed Yes | 66c | 1,526$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 66c | 1,481$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Yes | 65c | 1,356$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.55 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 66c | 1,334$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 357 | 46.8%167 W · 190 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 65c | 1,163$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 390 | 42.3%165 W · 225 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 34c | 893.92$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 823.35$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.68 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 66c | 757$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 184 | 34.8%64 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed Yes | 66c | 727.2$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 66c | 702.53$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 665.11$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 497 | 51.9%258 W · 239 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 33c | 599.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…790cbacked No | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Yes | 66c | 579.67$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 11c | 566.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 65c | 516.49$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…5bc8backed Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…2586backed No | 34c | 441.69$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 75c | 405.08$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed No | 35c | 377.14$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 66c | 360$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 35c | 346.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 65c | 333$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 67c | 329.01$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 295 | 40.3%119 W · 176 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 34c | 297.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…b9a7backed No | 35c | 276.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 69c | 275.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 34c | 232.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 67c | 204.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 286 | 36.4%104 W · 182 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7812…4bcdbacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 34c | 199.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 66c | 187$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 66c | 168.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 66c | 166.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 66c | 159.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…15aabacked Yes | 67c | 158.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed No | 34c | 157.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 34c | 152.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…df62backed Yes | 66c | 147.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…f805backed Yes | 66c | 147.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 34c | 124.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…8b00backed No | 34c | 124.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 34c | 121$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…2f84backed No | 34c | 107$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 35c | 93.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a730backed Yes | 65c | 82.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50b…d9a9backed Yes | 66c | 74.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 66c | 73.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 69.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 725 | 48.6%352 W · 373 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed No | 34c | 56.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 34c | 54.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed No | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 65c | 47.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 34c | 45.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 34c | 37.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 65c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…6ecfbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Yes | 65c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a8…b58bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…6ffebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 424 | 44.1%187 W · 237 L | -22.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 37c | 29.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AEK win on 2026-08-26?this page
- Will AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?No won
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.