Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64d5c6d825f62af239efa00ab2d709431190a0327ea14a1c874054093ae0151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tarleton State Texansof Tarleton State Texans, Southern Utah Thunderbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 18,706$9,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,111.41 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 49c | 9,149$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 49c | 4,270$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 2,592$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 50c | 1,555$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.03 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 1,507$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 51c | 679.41$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.89 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 71c | 612.37$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.07 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 27c | 568.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 49c | 562$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.38 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 37c | 483.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 372.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Tarleton State Texans | 69c | 291.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52c | 274.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Tarleton State Texans | 48c | 268.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 211.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52c | 188$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 24c | 180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 33c | 151$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 149$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 49c | 138.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 50c | 111.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 29c | 103.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 101.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 48c | 89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 25c | 66.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 47c | 61.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tarleton State Texans | 78c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Tarleton State Texans | 47c | 51.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 55c | 43.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 28c | 42.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 36.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 48c | 31.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 53c | 30.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 42c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirdsthis page
- Spread: Southern Utah Thunderbirds (-1.5)Tarleton State Texans won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.