Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Sumit Nagal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8290343f4f8e9ed12966034d736c091723d994b852f3b0ad958193cfb42f4ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcos Gironof Marcos Giron, Sumit Nagal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sumit Nagal | 1c | 9,895$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Sumit Nagal | 40c | 5,220$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sumit Nagal | 19c | 4,055$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.62 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Sumit Nagal | 8c | 3,500$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…aaaebacked Marcos Giron | 67c | 3,444$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sumit Nagal | 42c | 3,191$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.01 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Marcos Giron | 71c | 2,839$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.42 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sumit Nagal | 1c | 2,459$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sumit Nagal | 12c | 2,187$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Sumit Nagal | 26c | 1,852$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.42 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…786dbacked Marcos Giron | 71c | 1,136$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marcos Giron | 73c | 1,046$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Sumit Nagal | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Sumit Nagal | 33c | 904.1$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sumit Nagal | 29c | 793.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Sumit Nagal | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Sumit Nagal | 30c | 526.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Marcos Giron | 71c | 464.31$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sumit Nagal | 42c | 449.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marcos Giron | 65c | 379.07$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Sumit Nagal | 27c | 374.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 367.83$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marcos Giron | 71c | 354.08$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Sumit Nagal | 30c | 334.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Sumit Nagal | 25c | 258.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sumit Nagal | 32c | 232.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Marcos Giron | 79c | 220.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Marcos Giron | 71c | 183.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Marcos Giron | 65c | 174.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Sumit Nagal | 16c | 168.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Marcos Giron | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sumit Nagal | 26c | 151.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Marcos Giron | 66c | 151.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Sumit Nagal | 33c | 150.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 147.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Marcos Giron | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sumit Nagal | 30c | 133.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Marcos Giron | 74c | 133.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sumit Nagal | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Sumit Nagal | 16c | 116.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Sumit Nagal | 36c | 109.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Sumit Nagal | 25c | 105.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Sumit Nagal | 30c | 101.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Sumit Nagal | 30c | 101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Sumit Nagal | 31c | 96.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Marcos Giron | 71c | 80.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 389 | 66.1%257 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sumit Nagal | 35c | 66.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Marcos Giron | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Marcos Giron | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Marcos Giron | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Marcos Giron | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Sumit Nagal | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marcos Giron | 69c | 34.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 33.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Marcos Giron | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 29.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Marcos Giron | 61c | 23.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4e…3503backed Marcos Giron | 71c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…12c7backed Marcos Giron | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Marcos Giron | 77c | 17.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.