Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4a55266df1ca050920fa7913b5f25dda904c0e7a46b97b9bee887065e0a4a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Nottinghamshire, Leicestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Leicestershire | 22c | 1,451$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.89 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leicestershire | 16c | 353.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Leicestershire | 40c | 346.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leicestershire | 15c | 281.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Leicestershire | 15c | 274$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Nottinghamshire | 63c | 260$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nottinghamshire | 78c | 210.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Leicestershire | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nottinghamshire | 68c | 189.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Nottinghamshire | 65c | 162.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nottinghamshire | 78c | 155$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leicestershire | 17c | 148$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Leicestershire | 35c | 130.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Leicestershire | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Leicestershire | 36c | 106.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Nottinghamshire | 70c | 102.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leicestershire | 30c | 98.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nottinghamshire | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Leicestershire | 35c | 72.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leicestershire | 39c | 68.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nottinghamshire | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nottinghamshire | 59c | 52.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Nottinghamshire | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Nottinghamshire | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Nottinghamshire | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leicestershire | 43c | 43.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Nottinghamshire | 66c | 37.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Leicestershire | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leicestershire | 30c | 35.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nottinghamshire | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Nottinghamshire | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Leicestershire | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nottinghamshire | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nottinghamshire | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nottinghamshire | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Nottinghamshire | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Nottinghamshire | 74c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.