TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof BET-M 33, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b59…3aa6backed BET-M 3347c6,300$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.9885358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed BET-M 3348c5,358$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.4411633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro53c3,325$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.151,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BET-M 3340c2,916$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.834,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Virtus.pro67c1,545$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.1335342.8%151 W · 202 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Virtus.pro53c1,540$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.5455845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Virtus.pro53c1,266$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.025666.1%37 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Virtus.pro53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56418356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Virtus.pro52c1,022$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.5820358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Virtus.pro52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38467651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed BET-M 3348c756.39$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0765254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed BET-M 3347c750$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.510452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Virtus.pro53c742.08$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7839538.7%153 W · 242 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro52c676.94$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.931,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Virtus.pro53c640.48$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0364058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8f…2dcdbacked BET-M 339c599.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Virtus.pro53c566.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9898856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Virtus.pro52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24026341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Virtus.pro52c476.43$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.931,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked BET-M 3347c465.98$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0120643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Virtus.pro54c408$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BET-M 3350c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Virtus.pro53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3638052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed Virtus.pro51c372$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.288946.1%41 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked BET-M 3358c359.44$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20732352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Virtus.pro53c349.06$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0610062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked BET-M 3347c319.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.397736.4%28 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed BET-M 3347c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82f…59bfbacked Virtus.pro52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448842%37 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed BET-M 3330c295.9$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7425634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro71c291.97$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.46,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed BET-M 3341c258.64$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0429443.9%129 W · 165 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Virtus.pro59c254.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed BET-M 3352c250$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.527156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Virtus.pro52c226$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4813556.3%76 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed BET-M 3347c212.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9823335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed BET-M 3349c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9820750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Virtus.pro52c198$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Virtus.pro52c193.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8333354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Virtus.pro53c190.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5721856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed BET-M 3342c188.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtus.pro52c179.97$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3992145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed BET-M 3348c179.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3516346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro57c177.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.894,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…bbc3backed BET-M 3351c166.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.082231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro59c164.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.35,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro70c163.21$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.964,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro59c156$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed BET-M 3345c148$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6720147.3%95 W · 106 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Virtus.pro52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.64856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed BET-M 3348c136.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7622059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Virtus.pro52c131.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1833657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Virtus.pro52c122.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6245450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Virtus.pro51c117.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6722150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Virtus.pro53c116$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.528654.7%47 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Virtus.pro53c108.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4910852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Virtus.pro50c105.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.875,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed BET-M 3348c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Virtus.pro57c102.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0131051.3%159 W · 151 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Virtus.pro57c100.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2759445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Virtus.pro53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4736457.1%208 W · 156 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Virtus.pro55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.418754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed BET-M 3353c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5337050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Virtus.pro56c89.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7222954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Virtus.pro52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.427954.5%152 W · 127 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Virtus.pro53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Virtus.pro52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9242757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed BET-M 3347c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2568749.6%341 W · 346 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Virtus.pro52c72.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.633256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BET-M 3348c72.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8976248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked BET-M 3347c66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0266248.6%322 W · 340 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed BET-M 3339c65.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4714839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed Virtus.pro53c64.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.153455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Virtus.pro52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7214155.3%78 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Virtus.pro47c62.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8818747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc435…e961backed Virtus.pro49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69248.9%45 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb3…ed90backed Virtus.pro53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26060%36 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Virtus.pro52c54.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.383554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Virtus.pro47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3356049.8%279 W · 281 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Virtus.pro53c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Virtus.pro52c49.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3320556.6%116 W · 89 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed BET-M 3347c47.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2217654.5%96 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Virtus.pro43c46.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8126546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BET-M 3343c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ffd…08fabacked Virtus.pro53c37.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4725457.5%146 W · 108 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…85f9backed Virtus.pro50c36.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa52b…baf2backed Virtus.pro58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b06…99c9backed Virtus.pro53c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Virtus.pro53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro52c29.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fc…d6fabacked Virtus.pro53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…a753backed Virtus.pro52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Virtus.pro53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.164647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed BET-M 3348c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Virtus.pro76c26.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.429862.2%61 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed BET-M 3347c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2850456.5%285 W · 219 L+17.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1f…6d83backed Virtus.pro53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Virtus.pro51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7830153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b7…297bbacked Virtus.pro53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…b2ffbacked Virtus.pro53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.