Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab640d0581935b34863569fa7b2f61f5a014c8ee124b9655ae80eb47dd649cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9e7…ed80backed No | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 37c | 953.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.22 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 32c | 396.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.41 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 33c | 330$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 271.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 11c | 265.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 33c | 241.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 63c | 225$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 7c | 222.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 53c | 217.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 214$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 51c | 179.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed No | 63c | 155$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 38c | 152.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 56c | 150.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 146.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 141$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 135.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 60c | 128.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 124.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 41c | 118.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 45c | 117.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 38c | 112.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 94.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 23c | 82.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 42c | 80.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed No | 19c | 77.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 77c | 76.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 40c | 75.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 51c | 71.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 77c | 64.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 67c | 63.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 32c | 58.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 58.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 33c | 54.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 32c | 53.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Yes | 58c | 51.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 59c | 51.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 50.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…c757backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 49.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 42c | 49.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 40c | 46.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 46.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed Yes | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 43c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 34c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 32c | 42.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 43c | 42.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a13…72cebacked Yes | 34c | 41.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…04c8backed No | 67c | 40.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…dd31backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0c9cbacked Yes | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 51c | 39.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked No | 60c | 33.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…7265backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked Yes | 52c | 30.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed No | 51c | 28.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 62c | 27.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 57c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 41c | 25.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 23.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…9068backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 64c | 19.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 66c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 66c | 15.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 72c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.