South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabda08c9acfc5d4729b12d5a90d5968ddd771d64b0bede75af10547b1e214c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 52c | 15,000$7,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.14 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Yes | 76c | 12,980$9,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.08 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 48c | 5,734$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.57 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 5,011$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.18 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 48c | 4,800$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.92 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 23c | 3,697$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.4 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 3,445$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.33 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed No | 52c | 2,244$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 52c | 1,562$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.2 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,507$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.09 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 48c | 1,478$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.78 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 37c | 1,172$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.31 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 48c | 1,056$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.84 | 1,261 | 53.6%676 W · 585 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 326 | 40.2%131 W · 195 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 1,006$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.63 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 53c | 932.88$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.46 | 230 | 67%154 W · 76 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 24c | 881.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 1,325 | 50%663 W · 662 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed No | 26c | 847.75$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 673.29$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.4 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 589.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed No | 6c | 495.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +728.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed No | 49c | 409.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 26c | 377.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 33c | 312$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 48c | 252$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Yes | 52c | 215.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 49c | 211.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 198.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 72c | 172.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 26c | 78.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 52c | 77.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 52c | 76.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…2586backed No | 52c | 74.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 244 | 37.3%91 W · 153 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 25c | 68.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed No | 39c | 66.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…34cabacked No | 52c | 65.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 50c | 58.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 74c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 27c | 54.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 207 | 36.7%76 W · 131 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…8b00backed No | 52c | 42.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked No | 52c | 41.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 58c | 41.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked No | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,489 | 37.4%557 W · 932 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 35.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked Yes | 54c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…2f84backed No | 52c | 35.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,466 | 56.8%833 W · 633 L | +56.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…fbd4backed Yes | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 20.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 934 | 45.1%421 W · 513 L | -28.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…c609backed Yes | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 42cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…af4cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-28?No won
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.