MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf0c589ce23c4c78fb9212b2a75177b291b5e7a3e084bf21b7919e784c93844b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 1,677$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.95 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 1,584$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked KT Wiz | 65c | 1,574$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.77 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 855.55$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 10c | 548.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed KT Wiz | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 16c | 483.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 474.05$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 18c | 443.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3bc2backed KT Wiz | 77c | 366.02$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed KT Wiz | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 63c | 328.03$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 72c | 262.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 63c | 260.06$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 61c | 249.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 8c | 223$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 13c | 206.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed KT Wiz | 62c | 188.81$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 166.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 153.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 16c | 144$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 138.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 16c | 107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed KT Wiz | 62c | 91.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked KT Wiz | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 40.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 33.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 32.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed KT Wiz | 64c | 25.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed KT Wiz | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed KT Wiz | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed KT Wiz | 61c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KT Wiz | 76c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.