Lol · resolved market
LoL: Verdant vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b27af903a34f1d115b297205e1881957a4eae8668c29d35857152f428cd7c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof Verdant, The Ruddy Sack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed The Ruddy Sack | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked The Ruddy Sack | 22c | 1,344$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 303 | 60.7%184 W · 119 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed The Ruddy Sack | 20c | 1,280$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked The Ruddy Sack | 11c | 923.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed The Ruddy Sack | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Verdant | 57c | 717.02$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.24 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed The Ruddy Sack | 16c | 581.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked The Ruddy Sack | 11c | 540.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed The Ruddy Sack | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed The Ruddy Sack | 14c | 400.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed The Ruddy Sack | 7c | 316.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed The Ruddy Sack | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked The Ruddy Sack | 15c | 191.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked The Ruddy Sack | 9c | 187.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed The Ruddy Sack | 18c | 133.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed The Ruddy Sack | 24c | 132$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked The Ruddy Sack | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed The Ruddy Sack | 11c | 110.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked The Ruddy Sack | 18c | 102.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed The Ruddy Sack | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked The Ruddy Sack | 39c | 86.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked The Ruddy Sack | 26c | 57.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed The Ruddy Sack | 19c | 53.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Verdant | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked The Ruddy Sack | 53c | 41.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Verdant vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: VDN (-1.5) vs The Ruddy Sack (+1.5)Verdant won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Verdant vs The Ruddy Sack - Game 1 WinnerVerdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs The Ruddy Sack - Game 2 WinnerVerdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs The Ruddy Sack - Game 3 WinnerVerdant won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.