Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c68016975f74f59252b978dbfcb300a250e24c394a1864e5ef235e526fcc64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,636$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,747$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…d64fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,169$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 191 | 71.7%137 W · 54 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…5f0dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,331$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Yes | 33c | 1,149$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.27 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,038$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.41 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29dd…1338backed No | 73c | 998.4$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes | 5c | 806.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…31c4backed Yes | 22c | 763.76$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed No | 39c | 700$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…5a9fbacked No | 70c | 628.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…c01dbacked Yes | 6c | 574$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 39c | 561.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.45 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 47c | 539.61$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 16c | 490.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed No | 65c | 438.28$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 19c | 426.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.91 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc083…5b64backed Yes | 76c | 422.37$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +240%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 420.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 26c | 354.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 32c | 353.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.01 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…c1dbbacked Yes | 28c | 320.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…8761backed Yes | 70c | 303.39$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 6c | 266$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…6cf6backed Yes | 25c | 256.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…fa3cbacked Yes | 43c | 245$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 10c | 186$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 65c | 185.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 24c | 183.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 48c | 181.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 58c | 179.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 60c | 172.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 37c | 170.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 21c | 151.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 30c | 149.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…8d8ebacked No | 73c | 143.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 9c | 125.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 24c | 125.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 15c | 125.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 123.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…3af0backed Yes | 45c | 120.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…dc0cbacked Yes | 21c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…a9e6backed Yes | 30c | 116.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 60c | 110.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 102.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…998fbacked Yes | 25c | 98.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 14c | 97.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…a15ebacked Yes | 24c | 88.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Yes | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 85.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 37c | 79.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 54c | 74.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Yes | 53c | 71.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…b986backed Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…f943backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 21c | 59.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 44c | 57.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 51.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…6a81backed Yes | 39c | 50.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…5584backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…3152backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…1af7backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 56c | 46.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…d8a4backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 43c | 42.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…b663backed No | 60c | 41.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 37c | 41.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfca…8d8abacked Yes | 79c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 78c | 37.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 37.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 158 | 18.4%29 W · 129 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46c…8ce2backed Yes | 54c | 37.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fee…1502backed Yes | 74c | 32.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 65c | 32.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…2914backed Yes | 35c | 32.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…ecdcbacked Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…28a3backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…9087backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…7d04backed No | 69c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C or below on February 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.