MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb122c980009104bec1e7fdbedaa47ddc7510a359dcf309be342f706b71ad36fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Detroit Tigers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 12,906$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,130.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 44c | 10,788$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 63c | 1,145$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.1 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.87 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 982.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 724.42$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 63c | 560.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Athletics | 45c | 543.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.67 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Athletics | 45c | 542.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Athletics | 45c | 539.38$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.66 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Athletics | 65c | 521.15$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Athletics | 59c | 456.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 431.8$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.05 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 53c | 378.17$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 224.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 220.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 66c | 187.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Athletics | 45c | 114.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 60c | 114$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Athletics | 45c | 108.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Athletics | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Athletics | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 71.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 68.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Athletics | 44c | 55.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Athletics | 45c | 53.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Athletics | 60c | 51.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…b678backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Athletics | 43c | 46.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Athletics | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 43.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Athletics | 45c | 43.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Athletics | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Athletics | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Athletics | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 27.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 60c | 22.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 19.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 18.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 18.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 17.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.