TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under52c153,566$80,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,453.291,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over43c36,852$15,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,004.0611,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c30,725$15,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,912.6210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over47c26,208$12,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,890.2473650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c10,390$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,446.551,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c6,620$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.673,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over50c5,154$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.793,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over50c4,500$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c4,286$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.348,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over49c4,100$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09171253.4%380 W · 332 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c3,192$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.344,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4939953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4939051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,843$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.126,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over47c2,400$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27246048.5%223 W · 237 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,966$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.735,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Over47c1,901$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.31,13942.7%486 W · 653 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over47c1,477$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.212,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over57c1,193$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.984,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c1,024$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.722,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over48c897.48$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.681,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c753.07$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.358,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Under4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c703$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.591,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3647154.9%39 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Under4c700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28586.9%4 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+79.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under53c661$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3327449.3%135 W · 139 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over47c606.16$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6232552.9%172 W · 153 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over48c585$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.21,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Under4c573.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.95707.1%5 W · 65 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+119.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Over63c543$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9182042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over47c445.52$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1348851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c278.74$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under45c265.68$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.431,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over49c264$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6480255%441 W · 361 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…0615backed Over54c224.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under8c220$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0170737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over49c206.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3457346.9%269 W · 304 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9544845.8%205 W · 243 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over47c170.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2216355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Over47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.576454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7823255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c144$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.322,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Under44c129.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8732434.6%112 W · 212 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under60c127.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7318272%131 W · 51 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over47c127.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6553655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over47c127.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over47c98.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.341,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Over49c98.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.184238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8855448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over43c97.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.131,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Over48c97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5215248%73 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Over47c95.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.721457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under41c88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.268,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over55c73.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.929835.7%35 W · 63 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Over48c68.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0323357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over47c68.13$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1135747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over56c64.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2931849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba71…1209backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3040446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under31c58.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.211,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under56c51.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.541,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over50c50.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8489548.3%432 W · 463 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…a95fbacked Under54c45.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under45c42.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.053,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.812,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over49c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.683854.7%458 W · 380 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over48c37.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6129141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over62c36.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.939,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over65c35.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.345,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked Over79c32.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.761586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over52c32.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5628948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over47c31.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7273355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over47c31.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5947056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb15e…7c54backed Over47c30.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.073026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Under53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under53c27.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.568046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x357a…951ebacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Under50c24.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4314351%73 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4812340.7%50 W · 73 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under53c19.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.159534.5%205 W · 390 L-22.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.