NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1cd505a867ae9e24c1157781d042a792ef8403971c278b5325b394aa0fca0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Bills, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Bills | 49c | 18,783$9,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,170.57 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Texans | 62c | 9,053$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.68 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Texans | 53c | 8,452$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.9 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bills | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Texans | 66c | 3,140$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.4 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Texans | 54c | 2,832$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.47 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texans | 58c | 2,670$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.93 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texans | 56c | 1,872$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Bills | 36c | 1,266$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bills | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.14 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Texans | 52c | 1,053$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.65 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bills | 50c | 989.84$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.92 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Texans | 48c | 926.15$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.46 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Bills | 37c | 801.42$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…8669backed Bills | 50c | 700$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Bills | 24c | 625.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf866…75dcbacked Bills | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Bills | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…24e3backed Texans | 49c | 529.59$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…8469backed Bills | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bills | 47c | 453.6$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Texans | 65c | 367.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.11 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Texans | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Texans | 73c | 345.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Bills | 44c | 301.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Bills | 40c | 300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bills | 48c | 283.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Texans | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…d71fbacked Texans | 77c | 280.95$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bills | 26c | 277.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bills | 18c | 255.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 60c | 252.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bills | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Texans | 52c | 240.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Texans | 51c | 240.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Bills | 37c | 234.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Bills | 26c | 230.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Bills | 50c | 230$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Texans | 62c | 227.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…02e0backed Bills | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Texans | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ad14backed Texans | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…f7bfbacked Bills | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…b7c5backed Bills | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…34d3backed Texans | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Bills | 35c | 201.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Bills | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Bills | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Bills | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Bills | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked Bills | 47c | 191.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Texans | 51c | 180.86$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Texans | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Bills | 50c | 173.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Bills | 48c | 152$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bills | 40c | 150.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texans | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Texans | 57c | 149.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Texans | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Texans | 47c | 139.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Bills | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Bills | 39c | 127.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Bills | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Bills | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Bills | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Texans | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Bills | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Bills | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed Bills | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Bills | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353d…d13bbacked Bills | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Texans | 79c | 97.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…951dbacked Bills | 48c | 94.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Bills | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…b379backed Bills | 52c | 87.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…822abacked Texans | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Bills | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Texans | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Texans | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…52f3backed Texans | 78c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Bills | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Texans | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…4a0bbacked Bills | 41c | 69.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4adc…7639backed Bills | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Bills | 45c | 67.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…92f7backed Texans | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bills | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…3e13backed Bills | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…2fa9backed Bills | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…c664backed Bills | 50c | 58.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Texans | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Bills | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…828dbacked Texans | 78c | 54.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…c1edbacked Bills | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked Bills | 52c | 49.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Texans | 51c | 49.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc9…7e94backed Texans | 78c | 47.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Texans | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.