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Tennis · resolved market

Roehampton 2: Johannus Monday vs Michele Ribecai

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michele Ribecaiof Johannus Monday, Michele Ribecai
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Johannus Monday36c60,177$21,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,461.889,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…2d38backed Johannus Monday0c51,905$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Michele Ribecai49c43,359$21,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,1531353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Michele Ribecai69c8,163$5,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.6712657.9%73 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Michele Ribecai53c5,600$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.381,29556.6%733 W · 562 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michele Ribecai51c5,205$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.588,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Michele Ribecai54c2,498$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.2974840.9%306 W · 442 L+3.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f38…eb70backed Johannus Monday52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.981060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Johannus Monday51c2,300$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1736756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…694fbacked Johannus Monday55c2,160$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.063250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Johannus Monday10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20062122.2%138 W · 483 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Johannus Monday54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015351%78 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Michele Ribecai46c1,642$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.946,72546.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L-42.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7498…8b4dbacked Johannus Monday57c1,555$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.732030%6 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Michele Ribecai46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81010449%51 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Johannus Monday52c1,331$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6981,75050.2%878 W · 872 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Johannus Monday31c1,211$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.648744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Michele Ribecai69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4247950.9%244 W · 235 L-2.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Michele Ribecai47c1,061$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.161,00640%402 W · 604 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Johannus Monday5c1,003$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045732.4%148 W · 309 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Johannus Monday53c998.54$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.1278055.4%432 W · 348 L+52.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b6a…9fb9backed Johannus Monday51c869.94$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.373860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafef…f50ebacked Johannus Monday56c803.17$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Johannus Monday51c776.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028751.6%148 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Johannus Monday51c776.91$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021149.3%104 W · 107 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Johannus Monday46c735.26$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.3145948.8%224 W · 235 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b96…cea8backed Johannus Monday28c719.29$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.57428.4%21 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Johannus Monday14c710.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017519.4%34 W · 141 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x425a…6015backed Michele Ribecai44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Johannus Monday56c684.19$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.491,15045.4%522 W · 628 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x940c…6f91backed Johannus Monday56c668.01$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.39857.1%56 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+60.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Johannus Monday26c635.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.811,85246.6%863 W · 989 L+19.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Johannus Monday55c543.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,87248.2%902 W · 970 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Johannus Monday65c538.46$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,14550%572 W · 573 L-23.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Johannus Monday54c507.81$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.886,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc48a…c6c4backed Michele Ribecai42c499.97$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.986016.7%10 W · 50 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Johannus Monday53c496.23$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.969,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ce…aceebacked Johannus Monday55c470.31$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.393641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c57…4d10backed Johannus Monday53c453.15$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408657%49 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Johannus Monday21c440.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2934448.8%168 W · 176 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f9…d72ebacked Michele Ribecai42c440.29$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.627857.7%45 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Johannus Monday62c423$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.267,79147.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L+39.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf1…6460backed Michele Ribecai75c414.2$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Johannus Monday48c413.02$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.113457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Michele Ribecai48c410.2$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6261746.2%285 W · 332 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Michele Ribecai71c395.43$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.145,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Johannus Monday44c380.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8560641.3%250 W · 356 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Johannus Monday28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.854741.7%228 W · 319 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Michele Ribecai35c321.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2918342.1%77 W · 106 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Michele Ribecai69c319.04$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.930338.3%116 W · 187 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Johannus Monday30c315.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.691,25046.2%578 W · 672 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Johannus Monday65c310.92$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.131257.4%179 W · 133 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Michele Ribecai50c303.85$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.515,60048.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L+10.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Michele Ribecai50c297.6$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.832943.8%144 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Michele Ribecai56c296.88$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312,07652.9%1,099 W · 977 L+33.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a8…ad06backed Michele Ribecai37c288.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.71877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+67.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Michele Ribecai38c265.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.512740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Johannus Monday20c248.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.538731.3%121 W · 266 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…ecf5backed Johannus Monday54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.63250%16 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Johannus Monday18c238.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.973,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Johannus Monday20c229.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9664726.4%171 W · 476 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Johannus Monday39c226.68$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.444,80349.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L+174.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Johannus Monday48c225.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1689237.2%332 W · 560 L-2.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Johannus Monday51c214.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.26,58454.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L+286.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8428…a5fbbacked Michele Ribecai47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Johannus Monday43c202.43$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.141,85646.8%868 W · 988 L-55.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Johannus Monday52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049739.2%38 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70fb…946bbacked Michele Ribecai38c199.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.547342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa761…ea7dbacked Johannus Monday29c197.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Michele Ribecai47c192.23$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.459241.3%38 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Johannus Monday64c182.23$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6374353%394 W · 349 L+37.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe530…ed7bbacked Michele Ribecai74c181.24$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.841450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Johannus Monday28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Johannus Monday40c176.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4454…f6bfbacked Michele Ribecai79c174.53$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.081540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Johannus Monday58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e1…6b15backed Michele Ribecai62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8784…9b1abacked Johannus Monday28c160.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458532.9%28 W · 57 L-11.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Johannus Monday63c157.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049257.9%285 W · 207 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Johannus Monday44c157$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8664440.7%262 W · 382 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2890…49ebbacked Johannus Monday32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Johannus Monday51c154.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Johannus Monday22c153.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,35646.5%1,096 W · 1,260 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Michele Ribecai69c134.86$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8120443.6%89 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f3…4cfdbacked Johannus Monday29c134.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.974035%14 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johannus Monday52c132.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.88,12750.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L+84.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Johannus Monday50c121.34$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.671,11257.9%644 W · 468 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Johannus Monday33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041943.9%184 W · 235 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de1…68b8backed Johannus Monday51c119.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Johannus Monday45c112.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.311,52243.9%668 W · 854 L-26.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Johannus Monday47c109.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.845,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Johannus Monday51c107.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.625052%130 W · 120 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Michele Ribecai47c107$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51,90357.5%1,094 W · 809 L+107.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Johannus Monday58c106.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.384357.3%483 W · 360 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Michele Ribecai35c105.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.773,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Johannus Monday48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5099255.9%555 W · 437 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Johannus Monday48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090954.6%496 W · 413 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Johannus Monday48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033657.7%194 W · 142 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Johannus Monday29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070930.2%214 W · 495 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Johannus Monday49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03949.9%518 W · 521 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.