TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Targu Mures: Ilia Simakin vs Marko Topo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marko Topoof Ilia Simakin, Marko Topo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ee4…ed67backed Marko Topo66c6,243$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.1528237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ilia Simakin34c5,551$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Marko Topo68c4,755$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.711,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Ilia Simakin37c4,559$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70014246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Ilia Simakin32c1,946$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.993,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ilia Simakin26c1,837$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.324,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ilia Simakin37c1,362$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5653043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Marko Topo63c1,111$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1137235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Ilia Simakin33c1,000$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.122,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ilia Simakin37c846.56$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.993,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Ilia Simakin36c817.39$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3392237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marko Topo74c642.49$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.428,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Marko Topo60c610$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.14,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Marko Topo67c540.48$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.442,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marko Topo61c451.33$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Marko Topo76c427.26$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5196945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ilia Simakin37c412.86$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.741,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Marko Topo69c401.1$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.349,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Marko Topo75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Ilia Simakin42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Ilia Simakin34c306$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0430132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Marko Topo63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11111839%46 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ilia Simakin30c290.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.984,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Ilia Simakin32c242.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.372,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Marko Topo60c238.97$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.486,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marko Topo64c235.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.085,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Marko Topo66c216.2$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.532,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Marko Topo64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.84,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…944bbacked Ilia Simakin33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Marko Topo62c146.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.785,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Ilia Simakin43c138.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ilia Simakin33c130.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.192,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Ilia Simakin25c126$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1125336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Marko Topo66c122.26$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.351,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Ilia Simakin34c120.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9530746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Ilia Simakin38c119.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.661,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Ilia Simakin36c113.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.222,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilia Simakin31c100.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.748,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc44…3a2fbacked Marko Topo57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Ilia Simakin35c96.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.832748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Ilia Simakin35c88.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5472638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Marko Topo56c87.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6733134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Marko Topo56c82.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3524446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bef…ffd3backed Marko Topo55c78.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.182955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Ilia Simakin36c73.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Ilia Simakin45c70.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.432,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Ilia Simakin33c70.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.361,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Marko Topo76c68.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Ilia Simakin47c66.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.231,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Marko Topo80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda87…ca76backed Ilia Simakin37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Marko Topo71c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.882,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ilia Simakin37c50.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.564,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Ilia Simakin42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2173951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Ilia Simakin31c49.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Ilia Simakin41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.092,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Marko Topo64c48.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.636,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Marko Topo63c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Marko Topo70c46.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Ilia Simakin33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512945.7%59 W · 70 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ilia Simakin33c45.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.893,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Marko Topo64c43.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5137255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Marko Topo68c43.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Ilia Simakin45c42.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1773748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Ilia Simakin37c40.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9517341%71 W · 102 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Marko Topo74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5423272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Marko Topo60c38.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4792548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Ilia Simakin36c36.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.076121.3%13 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Marko Topo60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.954,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Ilia Simakin35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Ilia Simakin34c31.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5247447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c0…eca1backed Marko Topo66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Ilia Simakin34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.219349.7%96 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Marko Topo68c29.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3136743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Marko Topo65c26.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3879951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Marko Topo52c26.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8579052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc622…8f86backed Marko Topo66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Marko Topo58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Ilia Simakin42c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.491,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Marko Topo54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1685449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Marko Topo58c21.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2260141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4927…deaebacked Marko Topo60c20.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.139364.5%60 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Marko Topo63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.488273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Marko Topo67c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9435060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2c…be40backed Marko Topo73c13.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.77958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.