Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5e82cd5ce72a8a1eb9a562ba45a7c74479cef4ee7e66ad560ef02ff50f486b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof San Diego State Aztecs, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Colorado State Rams | 45c | 8,611$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.16 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 41c | 5,913$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 53c | 3,810$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Colorado State Rams | 79c | 3,182$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.81 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado State Rams | 65c | 2,853$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 55c | 1,867$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.45 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 57c | 1,393$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 17c | 1,360$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.14 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked Colorado State Rams | 79c | 1,209$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 42c | 1,208$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.94 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 68c | 1,196$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado State Rams | 67c | 1,155$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 921.91$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 25c | 819.75$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado State Rams | 71c | 770.45$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 16c | 769.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed San Diego State Aztecs | 57c | 732$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Colorado State Rams | 67c | 539$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Colorado State Rams | 75c | 523$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed San Diego State Aztecs | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Colorado State Rams | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado State Rams | 43c | 443.72$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego State Aztecs | 36c | 391.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colorado State Rams | 67c | 349.13$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Colorado State Rams | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked San Diego State Aztecs | 16c | 327.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed San Diego State Aztecs | 39c | 234.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado State Rams | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Diego State Aztecs | 26c | 193.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 58c | 187$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed San Diego State Aztecs | 57c | 175.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…b9b7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 21c | 175.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 12c | 161.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State Rams | 76c | 134.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego State Aztecs | 50c | 132.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed San Diego State Aztecs | 14c | 131$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed San Diego State Aztecs | 26c | 121.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 23c | 112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado State Rams | 42c | 100.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Colorado State Rams | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 25c | 76.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed San Diego State Aztecs | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado State Rams | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…76e9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 36c | 53.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Colorado State Rams | 42c | 53.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed San Diego State Aztecs | 30c | 51.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848b…9462backed San Diego State Aztecs | 27c | 38.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado State Rams | 40c | 33.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed San Diego State Aztecs | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Colorado State Rams | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Colorado State Rams | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Colorado State Rams | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado State Rams | 66c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Ramsthis page
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 137.5Over won
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-2.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.