MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb2398efb1174b61edfefe6fc6d2ccc0b7d2e310092c11effd769cc898643a88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 28,614$13,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,734.56 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 21,390$10,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400.93 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.77 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 19,741$9,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,653.23 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 7,804$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.09 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed New York Yankees | 52c | 6,000$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked New York Yankees | 52c | 4,897$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.56 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed New York Yankees | 52c | 4,741$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.79 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed New York Yankees | 52c | 2,514$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.18 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 2,267$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,736$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.17 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,581$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,573$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.62 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,380$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,324$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed New York Yankees | 52c | 798.7$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.78 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed New York Yankees | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New York Yankees | 50c | 556$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 496.73$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed New York Yankees | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 367$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked New York Yankees | 50c | 330.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 292.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed New York Yankees | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed New York Yankees | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…f3efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed New York Yankees | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 98.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed New York Yankees | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed New York Yankees | 75c | 81.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed New York Yankees | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed New York Yankees | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 61.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed New York Yankees | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed New York Yankees | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked New York Yankees | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 38.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked New York Yankees | 72c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.