Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc4c74969dbcb9c4dfb93ae327539f475aeccea7b5bcf5be26b8d56c62963d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 26c | 2,535$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.43 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 2,150$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.82 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 1,215$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.29 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 78c | 999.98$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.69 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 937.92$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.2 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 34c | 857.14$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 76c | 845.36$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 727.4$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.74 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 680.29$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.85 | 132 | 70.5%93 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 78c | 672.36$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 22c | 625.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed No | 2c | 505.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 484.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.15 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 24c | 426.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.69 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 308.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.61 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 244$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed No | 44c | 227.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 70c | 213.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 205.65$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 194$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 23c | 160.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 32c | 155.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 47c | 149.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 33c | 149.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 144.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 22c | 127.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 47c | 122.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 100.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 66c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 99.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…c4f4backed No | 28c | 93.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 72c | 92.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 21c | 79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 341 | 42.8%146 W · 195 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 63.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 45c | 56.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 39c | 53.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 78c | 43.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 383 | 47.8%183 W · 200 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed No | 77c | 32.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 31.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 79c | 30.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed No | 77c | 29.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 35c | 29.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 128 | 73.4%94 W · 34 L | +19.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 44c | 28.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 52c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 79c | 20.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…76c2backed Yes | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 78c | 14.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-26?No won
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.