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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No31c9,831$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,797.333,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes67c7,233$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.282,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes30c6,568$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.52035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes65c5,517$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.6814434.7%50 W · 94 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c5,191$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.0183845%377 W · 461 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No42c4,752$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.8533442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0744…d0f7backed No37c4,476$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.174100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52023736.7%87 W · 150 L-14.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes40c3,065$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.971,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes63c2,534$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.541,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No11c2,218$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.782245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No36c2,006$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.8272550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes66c1,986$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.622,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No36c1,797$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.2677248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes60c1,628$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes64c1,593$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.5941442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes26c1,554$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.081010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-76.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes27c1,529$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3285142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes59c1,419$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No67c1,315$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.665961%36 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed No23c1,277$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.691346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes63c1,193$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.5620948.8%102 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked No12c1,130$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.982536%9 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Yes64c1,032$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes27c925.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes70c855.36$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002560%15 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes60c823.79$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Yes28c809.41$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No39c800.06$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.561,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No10c794.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.011741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No69c777.06$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7240844.4%181 W · 227 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No74c758.17$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.291369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes45c748.88$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.293834.2%13 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick23cpaid+73.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c740.97$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.071,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No53c724.83$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0783733%276 W · 561 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes53c657.11$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.459051.1%46 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed No41c628$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+85.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No37c599.95$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9721648.6%105 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes21c586.09$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7641245.6%188 W · 224 L+25.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes65c564$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.67572%54 W · 21 L+19.6wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+83.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No36c524.79$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7649555.4%274 W · 221 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes40c496.02$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes61c494.1$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.41855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Yes61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked Yes56c482.73$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes24c460.92$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.625637.5%21 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+104.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No10c454.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.953455.9%19 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+46.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No40c451.4$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.849959.6%59 W · 40 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes70c441.02$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.713450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No10c419.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.421625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2851…d63cbacked Yes79c417.97$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed No75c402.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes62c379.23$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5622237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes67c377.32$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.138431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed Yes79c376.18$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.782339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No33c357.52$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.92231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb176…fcb2backed Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No40c314.46$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1838855.4%215 W · 173 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No64c312.57$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1953747.9%257 W · 280 L-1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c308.87$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.581,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No74c302.93$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.761266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes62c290.32$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Yes65c274.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.786080%48 W · 12 L+13.7wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+67.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9d0c…10f2backed No37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No15c260$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2213865.8%25 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+61.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.976037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15089648.2%432 W · 464 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c235.65$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Yes14c212.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes71c212.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.996251.6%32 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No44c201.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.395133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13223240.9%95 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48dd…98cebacked No35c198.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Yes61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+108.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes63c190.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes66c181.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209652.1%50 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9b…2bf9backed Yes72c179.37$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No39c177.23$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1125248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Yes62c168.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed No39c166$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Yes30c156.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.882133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes65c153.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.838176.5%62 W · 19 L+13.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+32.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes67c151.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.55259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes38c150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5725549%125 W · 130 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No15c148.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.198648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No56c146.57$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.588574.1%63 W · 22 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No18c145.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.411,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No37c128.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9854353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed No40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked No40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1874…594fbacked No41c124.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+97.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes32c123.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398333.7%28 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed No22c113.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No39c112.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.822644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No67c107.9$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.913067.7%88 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.