CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe18b7f3a526ae013947b59c9c4a97af22f55cb17a8ecb25ca6e36bb163157ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4fb…dac5backed TDK | 50c | 6,198$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…8d72backed TDK | 51c | 5,649$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed TDK | 40c | 5,398$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.66 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 29c | 5,364$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…9b1cbacked Alliance | 50c | 4,790$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…a4fbbacked Alliance | 50c | 4,445$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance | 45c | 3,378$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.1 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TDK | 54c | 2,851$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.22 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c1…3049backed Alliance | 50c | 2,622$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alliance | 76c | 2,478$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.98 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Alliance | 58c | 2,136$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.55 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Alliance | 71c | 2,011$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.74 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alliance | 74c | 1,864$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.24 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alliance | 79c | 1,786$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.3 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alliance | 59c | 1,455$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.46 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Alliance | 46c | 1,000$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.38 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 49c | 974.01$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed TDK | 52c | 702.27$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed TDK | 53c | 670.02$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.91 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked TDK | 38c | 657.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.85 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Alliance | 66c | 609.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.79 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed TDK | 26c | 549.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.32 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TDK | 59c | 518.41$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 67c | 509.09$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed TDK | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Alliance | 66c | 466.75$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 30c | 463.6$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Alliance | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…55cdbacked Alliance | 10c | 409.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance | 48c | 407.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked TDK | 78c | 399.97$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed TDK | 50c | 395.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Alliance | 55c | 388.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed TDK | 39c | 382.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.95 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…d9a6backed TDK | 65c | 376.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed TDK | 39c | 364.11$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed TDK | 25c | 326$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked TDK | 53c | 325.84$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Alliance | 47c | 318.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alliance | 26c | 296.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Alliance | 37c | 259.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 47c | 258.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed TDK | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked TDK | 67c | 239.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Alliance | 11c | 234.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed TDK | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed Alliance | 49c | 230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Alliance | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed TDK | 48c | 228.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Alliance | 46c | 219.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TDK | 55c | 208.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance | 31c | 196.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed TDK | 46c | 191.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…33e2backed Alliance | 73c | 190.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed TDK | 51c | 186.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed TDK | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…0c3bbacked TDK | 54c | 184.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Alliance | 36c | 183.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed TDK | 20c | 174.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Alliance | 49c | 166.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…c92fbacked TDK | 22c | 154$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Alliance | 7c | 150.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed TDK | 45c | 147.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed TDK | 53c | 145.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed TDK | 51c | 143.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TDK | 53c | 143$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Alliance | 38c | 141.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 46c | 124.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Alliance | 45c | 121.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Alliance | 48c | 119.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…a933backed TDK | 51c | 104.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Alliance | 52c | 100.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Alliance | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked TDK | 22c | 99.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed TDK | 64c | 98.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Alliance | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed TDK | 50c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked TDK | 33c | 82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed TDK | 51c | 80.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed TDK | 51c | 71.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked TDK | 26c | 71.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed TDK | 44c | 67.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked TDK | 45c | 66.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alliance | 71c | 66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Alliance | 57c | 63.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…f83abacked Alliance | 48c | 63.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Alliance | 32c | 63.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Alliance | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed TDK | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance | 51c | 54.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed TDK | 34c | 47.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed TDK | 66c | 47.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 73c | 47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Alliance | 73c | 41.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked TDK | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Alliance | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked TDK | 42c | 35.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TDK | 53c | 34.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Alliance | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.