Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf54477eb62addf22b468c9e4d09fdae5f05bfac26f5c5944d7c1ce85a5f935b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Zero Tenacity, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Lynx | 41c | 1,918$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Lynx | 72c | 1,608$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.82 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 1,516$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 1,283$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.24 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 1,039$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Lynx | 80c | 951.99$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 740.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 687.09$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 588.49$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.79 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 585.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.13 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 517.8$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 419.56$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Lynx | 46c | 324.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Lynx | 49c | 301.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 254.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Team Lynx | 50c | 251.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 247.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.63 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 188.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 186.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Lynx | 56c | 168.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 168$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 160.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Lynx | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Team Lynx | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 140.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 139.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 134.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 133.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 119.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 113.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 109.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Lynx | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx | 63c | 93.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…123cbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 90.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Team Lynx | 47c | 82.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 79.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 74.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…71a0backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 73.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Lynx | 51c | 69.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Lynx | 53c | 68.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 50.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Team Lynx | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Lynx | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 45.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Lynx | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Lynx | 58c | 34.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Team Lynx | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 26.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed Team Lynx | 50c | 24.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 62c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Team Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.