TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Zero Tenacity, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x913c…39b3backed Team Lynx41c1,918$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Lynx72c1,608$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.8212764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Zero Tenacity44c1,516$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67012740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx50c1,283$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.2469835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Zero Tenacity50c1,164$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58237945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Lynx68c1,039$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6579859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Lynx80c951.99$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6151049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Zero Tenacity68c740.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Zero Tenacity37c687.09$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5835737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity54c588.49$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7986659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Zero Tenacity42c585.94$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1317852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx47c517.8$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.9199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity49c419.56$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.022,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Team Lynx46c324.83$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4114343.4%62 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Lynx49c301.83$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Zero Tenacity21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity39c254.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.391,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed Team Lynx50c251.19$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.014035%14 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed Zero Tenacity56c247.28$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.636947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Zero Tenacity56c188.92$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.854058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Zero Tenacity54c186.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Team Lynx56c168.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1831865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity51c168$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6829240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Lynx44c160.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5848053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Zero Tenacity49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.53528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Lynx46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8140442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Team Lynx51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Zero Tenacity54c140.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620442.2%86 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1246451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Zero Tenacity31c139.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2254246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Zero Tenacity29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity51c137.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9954648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity36c134.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.961,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Zero Tenacity50c133.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.631,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Zero Tenacity42c119.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2128336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Team Lynx58c113.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0110653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity42c109.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.691,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Zero Tenacity60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Lynx48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.651364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed Zero Tenacity53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042660.1%256 W · 170 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx63c93.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.991,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e25…123cbacked Team Lynx44c90.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.191625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Team Lynx47c82.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5738244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed Zero Tenacity56c79.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.696768.7%46 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity32c74.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9669033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ec…71a0backed Zero Tenacity34c73.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9260%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Team Lynx51c69.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0836044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Lynx53c68.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3373554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Zero Tenacity44c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3465337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Zero Tenacity40c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2824527.3%67 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Zero Tenacity40c63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0817636.9%65 W · 111 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Zero Tenacity55c50.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7921344.1%94 W · 119 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Team Lynx48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2624041.3%99 W · 141 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Team Lynx45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c0…d689backed Zero Tenacity55c45.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.211428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Lynx32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.237851.1%193 W · 185 L-1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Lynx58c34.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5159556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Team Lynx37c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0235948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7028…66d1backed Zero Tenacity57c26.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512258.2%71 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fd…9187backed Team Lynx50c24.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.472343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Zero Tenacity48c23.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4718652.2%97 W · 89 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx62c23.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Zero Tenacity54c20.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124052.1%125 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Team Lynx50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010142.6%43 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Zero Tenacity66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210541%43 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.