Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf778ca304cd9836b9dc07b49d25a95a1bcff8c4d250ded6349a809a15ad5c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 639.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.81 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…7908backed Yes | 76c | 633.88$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 228 | 57.5%131 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…a32abacked Yes | 41c | 479.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 216 | 33.8%73 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 21c | 445.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 387.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.93 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 21c | 250.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 61c | 247.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 222.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed No | 68c | 212.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 208.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 52c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 16c | 196.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked No | 49c | 178.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 164.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 60c | 133.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 65c | 131.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 73c | 127.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 62c | 124.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 25c | 122.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…8ca0backed Yes | 75c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 58c | 114.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 79c | 114.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 112.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 72c | 105.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 103.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 54c | 98.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 96.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 70c | 96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 51c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 26c | 77.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 78c | 69.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 76c | 69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 52c | 65.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Yes | 28c | 63.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 44c | 63.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 24c | 62.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 61.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 51c | 59.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 28c | 54.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 28c | 46.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 26c | 42.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3b…2bf8backed Yes | 36c | 41.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 40.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 71c | 35.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 31.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Yes | 46c | 30.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 241 | 39.8%96 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…5c82backed No | 68c | 30.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 28.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 44c | 27.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 54c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 55c | 25.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…9240backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked Yes | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 53c | 23.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed Yes | 64c | 23.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 73c | 22.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 76c | 21.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3f…4851backed No | 74c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 73c | 19.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 76c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ff3dbacked No | 72c | 15.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 66c | 15.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 72c | 15.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…89b8backed No | 73c | 15.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 71c | 15.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa978…b643backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…0489backed No | 76c | 13.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.