Tennis · resolved market
Samsun: Togan Tokac vs Semen Pankin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf77a07275388de5ea052273d1ea8da3d6256235c7c1d9f735f542eeaa5da9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Semen Pankinof Togan Tokac, Semen Pankin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Togan Tokac | 16c | 8,986$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.01 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Togan Tokac | 37c | 8,145$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.71 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Semen Pankin | 63c | 5,214$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.02 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Semen Pankin | 61c | 2,000$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Semen Pankin | 66c | 1,777$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.51 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Togan Tokac | 38c | 1,596$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.52 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Semen Pankin | 70c | 1,517$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.47 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Togan Tokac | 27c | 960.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Togan Tokac | 33c | 946.15$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Semen Pankin | 70c | 879.54$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.47 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Semen Pankin | 67c | 806.03$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Togan Tokac | 23c | 521.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Semen Pankin | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Togan Tokac | 19c | 499$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Togan Tokac | 35c | 480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Semen Pankin | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Semen Pankin | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Togan Tokac | 45c | 458$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Togan Tokac | 32c | 418.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Togan Tokac | 12c | 320.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Semen Pankin | 69c | 291$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Togan Tokac | 4c | 265.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Semen Pankin | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Semen Pankin | 72c | 129.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Togan Tokac | 32c | 121.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Semen Pankin | 65c | 117$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Togan Tokac | 33c | 112.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Togan Tokac | 33c | 112.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Semen Pankin | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Semen Pankin | 67c | 96.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Togan Tokac | 33c | 93.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Togan Tokac | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Semen Pankin | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Togan Tokac | 34c | 76.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Semen Pankin | 64c | 76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Togan Tokac | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Semen Pankin | 69c | 53.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Togan Tokac | 29c | 51.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Semen Pankin | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Togan Tokac | 37c | 49.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Togan Tokac | 33c | 48.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Semen Pankin | 64c | 47.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Togan Tokac | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Togan Tokac | 32c | 39.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…6b3cbacked Togan Tokac | 33c | 37.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Semen Pankin | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Togan Tokac | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Semen Pankin | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Semen Pankin | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…9fa1backed Semen Pankin | 67c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Semen Pankin | 70c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Semen Pankin | 76c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Semen Pankin | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Semen Pankin | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Semen Pankin | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.