MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc04a49bd690c5e58c6c638874b09b427a105edd87e03e1a6012a74a20c31a70b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Nationals, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 8c | 8,640$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 61c | 8,268$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.69 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 38c | 6,228$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.92 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 37c | 5,582$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 40c | 4,891$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.96 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Dodgers | 64c | 4,521$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.65 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dodgers | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 3,578$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.8 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 2,750$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.5 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 40c | 2,457$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…69b2backed Dodgers | 64c | 2,444$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 17c | 2,314$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 35c | 2,286$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.02 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 64c | 1,844$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.82 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 63c | 1,675$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.74 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 25c | 1,343$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.07 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 36c | 1,340$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.38 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 34c | 1,328$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Dodgers | 66c | 1,323$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 36c | 1,253$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.14 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nationals | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 52c | 1,052$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.82 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 20c | 1,028$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Nationals | 41c | 930.13$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.21 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Dodgers | 62c | 805.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Dodgers | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Nationals | 37c | 740.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Nationals | 41c | 736.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 11c | 669$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Dodgers | 59c | 642.16$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 3c | 550$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Nationals | 5c | 550$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 34c | 545.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 35c | 519.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 36c | 499.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Nationals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 65c | 462.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Nationals | 16c | 376.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 4c | 369$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 28c | 320$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Dodgers | 64c | 315$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Nationals | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 24c | 285.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 65c | 270.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Dodgers | 65c | 246.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 65c | 244.71$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Dodgers | 58c | 219$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers | 64c | 199.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Dodgers | 63c | 196.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…96d1backed Dodgers | 63c | 157.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Dodgers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 155.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 66c | 154.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Nationals | 32c | 138.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 38c | 131.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…5984backed Dodgers | 64c | 131.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Dodgers | 63c | 128.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dodgers | 55c | 126.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Dodgers | 50c | 120.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Nationals | 36c | 110.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Nationals | 38c | 106.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 36c | 103$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Dodgers | 54c | 100.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…5f22backed Dodgers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Dodgers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Nationals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Nationals | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers | 65c | 93.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Dodgers | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Dodgers | 55c | 91.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Dodgers | 58c | 86.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Dodgers | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Nationals | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Nationals | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Dodgers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Dodgers | 64c | 50.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Nationals | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Nationals | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Nationals | 36c | 43.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 37c | 42.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Nationals | 36c | 41.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…5f7abacked Dodgers | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Nationals | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Nationals | 37c | 38.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.