Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc094ca89bebb332a761422d1067b6460ff063daca477cc39d9cee46298c81f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 80c | 625.62$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 1,102 | 51.7%570 W · 532 L | +74.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Yes | 68c | 617.87$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 27c | 452.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.29 | 1,458 | 27.8%406 W · 1,052 L | +77.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 71c | 427$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.39 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 4c | 418.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 10c | 413.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 33c | 368$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.48 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e42…4938backed Yes | 48c | 333.47$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 426 | 30.3%129 W · 297 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 5c | 329.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,014 | 51.6%523 W · 491 L | +108.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 35c | 323.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 795 | 27.9%222 W · 573 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 67c | 313$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 43c | 306.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 697 | 58.4%407 W · 290 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…e136backed No | 24c | 293.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 38c | 273.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.84 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…6a5abacked Yes | 36c | 257.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 14c | 223.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 106 | 13.2%14 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…242fbacked No | 76c | 184.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 158.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed No | 65c | 153.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 477 | 58.7%280 W · 197 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…783abacked No | 40c | 153.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 146.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 29c | 140.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 139.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 64c | 132.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 255 | 69%176 W · 79 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 31c | 129.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 542 | 38.9%211 W · 331 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed No | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 923 | 29.1%269 W · 654 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…6eb1backed Yes | 16c | 119.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 106.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 221 | 16.7%37 W · 184 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 456 | 30%137 W · 319 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…bb09backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 60c | 88.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 24c | 86.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…c8b1backed Yes | 63c | 85.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 79c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 300 | 32%96 W · 204 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 41c | 81.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 75c | 80.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 169 | 58.6%99 W · 70 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 19c | 79.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 76.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…0f28backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…cae8backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 14c | 72.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…c9a7backed No | 34c | 72.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 421 | 33.3%140 W · 281 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed No | 22c | 71.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 613 | 33%202 W · 411 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 23c | 69.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 24c | 67.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…6f69backed Yes | 70c | 65.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 31c | 64.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Yes | 79c | 64.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…8706backed Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 30c | 62.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +42.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…ae41backed Yes | 32c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 18c | 60.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4a1ebacked No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…57a4backed Yes | 21c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…4d6dbacked Yes | 70c | 55.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +18.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,314 | 54%709 W · 605 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 219 | 40.6%89 W · 130 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 26c | 49.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed Yes | 34c | 48.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 41c | 46.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 997 | 57.2%570 W · 427 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 52c | 42.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked No | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed Yes | 33c | 41.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…68b0backed No | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 74c | 34.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…730cbacked No | 39c | 30.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 30.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 415 | 51.3%213 W · 202 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fc…20bbbacked Yes | 35c | 28.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2,215 | 74%1,638 W · 577 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…7dc5backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbe…d541backed Yes | 66c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 58c | 24.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 220 | 45.9%101 W · 119 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…be0dbacked No | 79c | 19.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…603bbacked No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…6114backed Yes | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on August 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.