Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc21016f198c0686c18bdd703b8ad03c7420ae9aa417fea5c58bc77d2269709b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keegan Smithof Alex Bolt, Keegan Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Bolt | 19c | 9,727$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Alex Bolt | 78c | 4,292$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.61 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keegan Smith | 26c | 4,000$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.06 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith | 52c | 3,778$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.38 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Keegan Smith | 78c | 3,615$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Alex Bolt | 75c | 3,518$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Keegan Smith | 28c | 3,183$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.75 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Bolt | 76c | 3,090$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.54 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith | 77c | 2,722$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Keegan Smith | 27c | 2,615$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.87 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.55 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Keegan Smith | 75c | 1,457$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.36 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Keegan Smith | 72c | 1,225$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.16 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 1,086$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.55 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Alex Bolt | 73c | 834.5$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.19 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Alex Bolt | 74c | 821.06$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.59 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 819$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.82 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Alex Bolt | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Alex Bolt | 72c | 717.43$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.55 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Alex Bolt | 22c | 672.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Alex Bolt | 3c | 669.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Alex Bolt | 26c | 645.38$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Alex Bolt | 46c | 506.61$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Keegan Smith | 26c | 485.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.33 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 478.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keegan Smith | 59c | 467.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Keegan Smith | 26c | 464.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.67 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Keegan Smith | 50c | 409.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alex Bolt | 75c | 400$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Bolt | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Bolt | 72c | 379.05$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.91 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Keegan Smith | 53c | 371.74$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Keegan Smith | 50c | 363.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Bolt | 72c | 336.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…fa63backed Alex Bolt | 74c | 330.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Keegan Smith | 32c | 317.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.76 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keegan Smith | 46c | 308.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alex Bolt | 74c | 298.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Alex Bolt | 25c | 284.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Keegan Smith | 74c | 266$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Keegan Smith | 56c | 225$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Alex Bolt | 18c | 216.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 215.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Keegan Smith | 24c | 204.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 200.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Keegan Smith | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Keegan Smith | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Keegan Smith | 54c | 183.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keegan Smith | 46c | 156.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Keegan Smith | 68c | 155.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Keegan Smith | 53c | 153$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Keegan Smith | 62c | 151.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Alex Bolt | 66c | 151.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Keegan Smith | 41c | 142.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alex Bolt | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 132$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Alex Bolt | 77c | 129.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Keegan Smith | 23c | 129.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Alex Bolt | 13c | 126.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alex Bolt | 44c | 126.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Keegan Smith | 17c | 119$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Alex Bolt | 20c | 103.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Keegan Smith | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Alex Bolt | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Keegan Smith | 25c | 99.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Alex Bolt | 14c | 93.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Alex Bolt | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Keegan Smith | 26c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 78.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Alex Bolt | 55c | 78.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alex Bolt | 71c | 78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keegan Smith | 55c | 75.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith | 61c | 75.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Alex Bolt | 74c | 73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Keegan Smith | 28c | 72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Bolt | 74c | 71.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 70.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Keegan Smith | 18c | 67.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Alex Bolt | 23c | 58.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Keegan Smith | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Bolt | 67c | 50.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Alex Bolt | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Bolt | 37c | 46.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Keegan Smith | 33c | 45.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alex Bolt | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Alex Bolt | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Alex Bolt | 31c | 39.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Keegan Smith | 68c | 38.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Alex Bolt | 76c | 37.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Keegan Smith | 56c | 35.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Alex Bolt | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Alex Bolt | 47c | 29.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Alex Bolt | 75c | 27.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…d170backed Keegan Smith | 77c | 27.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x028b…4ad0backed Alex Bolt | 56c | 26.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smiththis page
- Alex Bolt vs. Keegan Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs SmithSmith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.