Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc43478e6a4f824236313c2bd3d18d81e85fd7fbc003f3fba87cf7e38df8e783e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Level UP, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Level UP | 13c | 40,589$5,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136.71 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Level UP | 20c | 30,676$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.39 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 20,049$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.7 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Level UP | 22c | 9,669$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 5,288$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.81 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Level UP | 17c | 5,250$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Level UP | 4c | 4,343$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Level UP | 14c | 4,265$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.1 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 4,160$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.8 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 3,751$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.97 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Level UP | 19c | 3,120$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Level UP | 9c | 3,020$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Level UP | 9c | 3,011$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Level UP | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Level UP | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Level UP | 23c | 2,959$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.57 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Level UP | 22c | 2,769$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.67 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Level UP | 23c | 2,434$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.82 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Level UP | 12c | 2,288$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Level UP | 5c | 2,198$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Level UP | 21c | 2,025$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.38 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Level UP | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Level UP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 1,846$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,750$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Level UP | 1c | 1,501$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Level UP | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.32 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 1,389$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,053$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Level UP | 16c | 1,033$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Level UP | 4c | 1,015$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Level UP | 17c | 1,002$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Level UP | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Level UP | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 971.3$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Level UP | 21c | 968.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Level UP | 17c | 820$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 741.76$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Level UP | 16c | 696.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Level UP | 12c | 648.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 635$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 549.99$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Level UP | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 497.01$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 496.85$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 400$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Level UP | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 320$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 235.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Level UP | 16c | 226.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 223.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Level UP | 16c | 197.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Level UP | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 135$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Level UP | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…eba3backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Level UP | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Level UP | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 114.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Level UP | 22c | 104.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…b919backed Level UP | 22c | 88.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Level UP | 19c | 84.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…1270backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 74.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 60.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Level UP | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Level UP | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 20.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0c9abacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 16.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…0c78backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 13.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.