TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins60c40,770$24,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,439.421,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins64c27,073$17,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,820.4511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Colorado Rockies43c27,000$11,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,709.0211952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Colorado Rockies44c21,265$9,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,356.5850153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins56c13,888$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.51,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies40c13,368$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.998,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Colorado Rockies40c10,536$4,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,220.7632251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Colorado Rockies44c9,804$4,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,313.984949%24 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Colorado Rockies40c6,059$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.6232152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Colorado Rockies42c4,722$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Colorado Rockies45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins55c4,415$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.7944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies17c4,058$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.982,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies18c3,931$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.7310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins75c3,710$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.0195045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Colorado Rockies1c3,653$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Miami Marlins56c3,623$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.971650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Colorado Rockies1c3,581$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44681.5%1 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-81.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies42c3,580$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.291,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins55c3,436$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.014,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Miami Marlins56c3,409$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50029147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins56c2,856$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.5889153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins57c2,675$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.253,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Colorado Rockies40c2,579$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.742,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Colorado Rockies44c2,563$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.7175248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Colorado Rockies36c2,519$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.4279442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Colorado Rockies41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0251,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Miami Marlins57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3949158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies43c1,599$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.124,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Colorado Rockies1c1,593$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8410913.8%15 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins67c1,537$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.0312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies2c1,521$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.854,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies44c1,295$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.141,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Colorado Rockies42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012342.3%52 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins56c1,183$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.333,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Colorado Rockies43c1,171$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5536048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins57c1,141$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.651,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2a87backed Colorado Rockies47c1,073$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Colorado Rockies42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42024346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Miami Marlins57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Miami Marlins57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43012448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Miami Marlins56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8643153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Miami Marlins56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8647545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies42c860$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.81,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked Colorado Rockies42c823.53$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.888729.9%26 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Colorado Rockies41c715.93$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9425950.2%130 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Colorado Rockies34c691.41$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.081,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies46c560.96$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.045,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Colorado Rockies8c548.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2736759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x387e…c514backed Miami Marlins56c543.23$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.021782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Miami Marlins56c519.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22926049.6%129 W · 131 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Miami Marlins57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21530647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins56c500$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.51,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins58c491.01$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.048,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies42c430$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.41,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Colorado Rockies45c421.22$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5526245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b9…04f6backed Colorado Rockies43c410.23$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.083828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Colorado Rockies46c402.95$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18517951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17639056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Miami Marlins56c399.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17654945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies44c345.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.222,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies42c340$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.41,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Colorado Rockies43c339.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4437944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Miami Marlins54c333.33$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.334454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies42c329.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.41,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies42c324.02$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins70c320$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.24,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Colorado Rockies43c294.78$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7677647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins69c258.27$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.431,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Colorado Rockies44c254.34$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4551545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Colorado Rockies40c252$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.812924.8%32 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Colorado Rockies42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Miami Marlins56c235.71$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.713756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Colorado Rockies45c233.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10567449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Colorado Rockies40c227.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.661,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2927357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Miami Marlins56c203$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3245045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Miami Marlins56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8814161%86 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins73c196.49$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3385148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Colorado Rockies42c185.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9139151.9%203 W · 188 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Miami Marlins56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5734756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Miami Marlins56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5719358%112 W · 81 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Miami Marlins56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573775.7%28 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Miami Marlins56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5764452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins56c176.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.952,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Colorado Rockies40c173.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.39945.5%45 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…7398backed Colorado Rockies42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.265542.4%278 W · 377 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…1e80backed Miami Marlins55c169.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.413458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Colorado Rockies42c155.4$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2528640.9%117 W · 169 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins56c152$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Miami Marlins56c144.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.519654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Colorado Rockies16c125.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5818151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins54c122.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1692046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Miami Marlins56c121.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.431,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Colorado Rockies11c118.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.212,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Colorado Rockies43c112$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1657758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.