South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75245f1b601a7bf5356d4d120c17e72b9854fe4e87abc285b4778d63145690c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebolof Fluminense FC, Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 49c | 162,494$79,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,871.94 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 110,994$56,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,606.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 7,613$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.39 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 50c | 7,595$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 6,375$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.69 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 4,679$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.01 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluminense FC | 50c | 3,904$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 3,813$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.67 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 3,540$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 51c | 2,893$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.05 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 2,183$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 1,750$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.35 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Fluminense FC | 44c | 1,121$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.56 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 967.23$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.25 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Fluminense FC | 47c | 611.82$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.56 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 475.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 470.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 405.34$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Fluminense FC | 45c | 377.63$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 52c | 374.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 48c | 368.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.86 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 284.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 246.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 212.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 204.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 195.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 191.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 178.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 176.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Fluminense FC | 40c | 172.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Fluminense FC | 48c | 168.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 153.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 60c | 150.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…fa29backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 54c | 141.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Fluminense FC | 50c | 135.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluminense FC | 16c | 131.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Fluminense FC | 39c | 123.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Fluminense FC | 38c | 122.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…f237backed Fluminense FC | 54c | 106.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Fluminense FC | 49c | 98.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Fluminense FC | 49c | 87.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…3003backed Fluminense FC | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 75.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 74.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Fluminense FC | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 66.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 66.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 63.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…b2e6backed Fluminense FC | 49c | 61.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 60.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 58.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 56.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 54.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Fluminense FC | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Fluminense FC | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Fluminense FC | 49c | 51.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 47.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 52c | 45.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Fluminense FC | 45c | 42.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 40.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Fluminense FC | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 37.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Fluminense FC | 45c | 35.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…7536backed Fluminense FC | 51c | 34.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fluminense FC | 43c | 33.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 32.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…c451backed Fluminense FC | 43c | 30.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Fluminense FC | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)this page
- Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.