Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc782231e6f0ba4304c539139d9a9e581177b463f49d275de3a6698e79fba7579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 79c | 2,487$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.39 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…3edebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 49c | 1,235$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.37 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 4c | 1,040$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 4c | 889.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 50c | 374.57$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 50c | 371.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 24c | 285.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 242.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…e2e1backed Yes | 79c | 201.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…7722backed Yes | 52c | 198.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 58c | 186.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…1267backed Yes | 64c | 159.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 57c | 144.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 51c | 134.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 50c | 123.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 10c | 118.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 113$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 49c | 105.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…0c7abacked Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 42c | 103.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…a8cebacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 22c | 83.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 81.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…7e87backed Yes | 51c | 78.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 41c | 77.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 49c | 77.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 47c | 75.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 42c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 67c | 73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed Yes | 48c | 66.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…5dadbacked Yes | 79c | 54.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…2005backed Yes | 48c | 52.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 51c | 51.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Yes | 48c | 50.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 58c | 48.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 47.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 44c | 47.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 66c | 46.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 48c | 44.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…6bd7backed Yes | 48c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 41c | 43.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…49d0backed No | 40c | 41.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 29c | 41.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…150fbacked Yes | 49c | 37.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 57c | 37.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 45c | 33.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 42c | 30.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 47c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 48c | 29.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 28.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 27.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 61c | 27.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 44c | 27.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 78c | 27.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 40c | 26.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc591…5088backed No | 52c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…b670backed Yes | 41c | 24.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca84…6f8dbacked No | 51c | 23.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 77c | 22.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 64c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…0a43backed No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…8465backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…292dbacked No | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…0f87backed No | 59c | 19.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 71c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 80c | 14.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 78c | 12.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.