Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaab9bb0e66c27702a5f8deb35986e062e0c433a4a6a4145055509490372dd7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 38c | 8,695$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.11 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Under | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Over | 38c | 1,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 63c | 1,432$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.68 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 1,297$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.68 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 66c | 1,079$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.38 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 62c | 758.06$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.06 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 69c | 672$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 39c | 544.55$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 32c | 509.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 162 | 38.9%63 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 61c | 417.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Under | 62c | 330.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…ff70backed Under | 61c | 320.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…3600backed Under | 62c | 319.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 37c | 315.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 245 | 43.3%106 W · 139 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 67c | 308$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 67c | 296.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…c08dbacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 37c | 270.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Under | 71c | 250.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 61c | 245.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -11.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 61c | 201.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 61c | 189.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 79c | 180.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 39c | 164.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 59c | 147$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 67c | 145.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 61c | 139.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 62c | 139.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 62c | 135$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 274 | 47.4%130 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Under | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Over | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 39c | 121.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 72c | 94.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 72.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 69c | 52.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 221 | 65.6%145 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 29c | 51.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Under | 38c | 47.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…e3b2backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Under | 61c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Under | 58c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs AG.AL (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.