Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad8d565c6a2fcf6285597a14fe761781f246a17eff9c637dba0ea976275fd0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 15,017$8,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,576.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 61c | 6,752$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.63 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 1,722$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 9c | 1,655$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Under | 36c | 1,141$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.01 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 871.25$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 40c | 853.69$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.72 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 61c | 528.87$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.41 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 39c | 420$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 39c | 420$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 46c | 389$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 60c | 338.37$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 39c | 329.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 58c | 315$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 57c | 193.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Over | 38c | 193.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 39c | 190$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 59c | 115.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Under | 63c | 98.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 66c | 88.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 58c | 66.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 41c | 59.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 53.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 42c | 47.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 47.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Under | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Over | 37c | 42.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 38c | 32.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 31.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9f…a82fbacked Over | 55c | 26.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 54c | 25.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 47c | 23.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 47c | 23.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 63c | 21.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…43adbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 57c | 19.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.