Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccee5937dfc7b02278939c412852eb96e13f96dd62e8e2cf62ed6a01d60ee23b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 16c | 788.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 59c | 499.52$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 42c | 493.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 28c | 352.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 70c | 297.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 37c | 271.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 57c | 265.84$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 65c | 265.57$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 60c | 229.65$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 141 | 13.5%19 W · 122 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 40c | 195.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 53c | 187.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 181.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 61c | 175.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 57c | 140.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…5abdbacked Yes | 47c | 118.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…fae7backed Yes | 46c | 118.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 29c | 117$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 33c | 116.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 289 | 46%133 W · 156 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 40c | 115.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 68c | 101.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 43c | 98.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 34c | 97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 82.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yes | 37c | 80.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 80.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e1…c79cbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 48c | 73.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 60c | 69.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…94dbbacked Yes | 34c | 66.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 63c | 62.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…f87bbacked No | 67c | 59.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…fb01backed No | 67c | 59.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked Yes | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 53c | 58.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 33c | 58.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 40c | 57.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 52c | 55.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 39c | 55.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…2d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 55.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 42c | 53.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 52.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 71c | 50.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…e5edbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…e352backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 40c | 49.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 48.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 41c | 48.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 47.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 60c | 45.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 44.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 29c | 42.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 58c | 37.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 60c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 54c | 34.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 67c | 32.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…80ecbacked No | 62c | 31.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed No | 63c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 60c | 29.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 67c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked No | 47c | 27.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 25.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -34.5wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed No | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 59c | 21.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 131 | 67.2%88 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…1df6backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 18.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 17.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1314…ada8backed No | 67c | 14.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.