Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd948020dd908af4b002b66c41dd35fe48b51fd02de447d60c0a9fc0a3e1bfcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 3,007$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.87 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 30c | 2,363$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.84 | 175 | 36.6%64 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 66c | 1,083$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.98 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 890.33$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 715.39$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.79 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 668.86$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.43 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 576.12$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 46c | 554.05$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.34 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 47c | 428.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…3b4cbacked Yes | 50c | 319.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 217.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked No | 52c | 204.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 73c | 182.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 321 | 49.2%158 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 123.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 29c | 122$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 106.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 772 | 41.6%321 W · 451 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…362cbacked No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 66.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Yes | 46c | 59.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 53c | 58.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…375bbacked Yes | 35c | 42.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 51c | 37.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 30.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…7112backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Luton Town FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Luton Town FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Luton Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.