Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfea7561290d4262d21114b741486bcedb9072b26cb548162e3cdc6e74f013b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelsea FCof Chelsea FC, Luton Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 35,792$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,792.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Luton Town FC | 38c | 17,784$6,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,786.71 | 1,190 | 32.5%387 W · 803 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Chelsea FC | 57c | 8,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.97 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luton Town FC | 30c | 6,920$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.66 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Luton Town FC | 30c | 6,779$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.67 | 214 | 38.8%83 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Luton Town FC | 39c | 6,638$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.08 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 4,825$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.02 | 1,012 | 36%364 W · 648 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Luton Town FC | 31c | 3,466$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.95 | 1,305 | 42.4%553 W · 752 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Luton Town FC | 31c | 3,357$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.66 | 1,358 | 48.3%656 W · 702 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luton Town FC | 31c | 3,072$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.51 | 643 | 47.7%307 W · 336 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Luton Town FC | 30c | 2,266$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.88 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Luton Town FC | 29c | 2,112$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.97 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Chelsea FC | 49c | 2,050$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Luton Town FC | 31c | 1,790$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.98 | 741 | 50.9%377 W · 364 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Luton Town FC | 30c | 1,734$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.92 | 851 | 52.9%450 W · 401 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Luton Town FC | 30c | 1,300$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luton Town FC | 31c | 1,036$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 652 | 44.6%291 W · 361 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chelsea FC | 71c | 794$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 219 | 47%103 W · 116 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 736.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.03 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Luton Town FC | 34c | 621.7$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 1,786 | 34.9%623 W · 1,163 L | -34.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Luton Town FC | 30c | 611.63$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.49 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 499.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luton Town FC | 29c | 489.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luton Town FC | 6c | 404.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Luton Town FC | 32c | 363.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Chelsea FC | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Luton Town FC | 30c | 327.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 583 | 48.5%283 W · 300 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Chelsea FC | 67c | 297.01$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Chelsea FC | 49c | 293.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed Chelsea FC | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Chelsea FC | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Luton Town FC | 40c | 205.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 1,424 | 44.3%631 W · 793 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Chelsea FC | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Luton Town FC | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Chelsea FC | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 233 | 57.1%133 W · 100 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Chelsea FC | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 361 | 47.9%173 W · 188 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…af74backed Chelsea FC | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Chelsea FC | 72c | 169.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Chelsea FC | 52c | 159.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 561 | 55.1%309 W · 252 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…aebfbacked Chelsea FC | 67c | 148.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Chelsea FC | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 389 | 41.4%161 W · 228 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Luton Town FC | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Chelsea FC | 74c | 111.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Chelsea FC | 74c | 107.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Luton Town FC | 32c | 103.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -11.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f71…711bbacked Chelsea FC | 62c | 100.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…0bfebacked Chelsea FC | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Chelsea FC | 67c | 97.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 94.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,707 | 52.8%902 W · 805 L | +31.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Chelsea FC | 61c | 82.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Luton Town FC | 29c | 77.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…1471backed Chelsea FC | 67c | 74.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…362cbacked Chelsea FC | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chelsea FC | 76c | 70.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 660 | 32.9%217 W · 443 L | -32.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Luton Town FC | 29c | 68.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luton Town FC | 31c | 61.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Luton Town FC | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Chelsea FC | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Chelsea FC | 68c | 55.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…5ac0backed Chelsea FC | 73c | 54.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Chelsea FC | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Chelsea FC | 69c | 46.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…963ebacked Chelsea FC | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Luton Town FC | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed Luton Town FC | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 37.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…718bbacked Chelsea FC | 69c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Chelsea FC | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Chelsea FC | 56c | 35.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Luton Town FC | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc9…3fbfbacked Chelsea FC | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Chelsea FC | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…de68backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Chelsea FC | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…0e48backed Chelsea FC | 73c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Chelsea FC | 55c | 23.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Luton Town FC | 43c | 23.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Chelsea FC | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Chelsea FC | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…12d0backed Chelsea FC | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…16e1backed Chelsea FC | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Luton Town FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Luton Town FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Luton Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.