Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb90650d4fd2db4c040592fca8782a45e9d173b06bd87b5fe1358b75a09324ae4

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Luton Town FCof Chelsea FC, Luton Town FC
Resolved: Aug 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $226,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $225,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,486 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Luton Town FC	53c	89,205$47,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,926.27	201	57.2%115 W · 86 L	+11.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Chelsea FC	47c	31,963$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Luton Town FC	48c	30,000$14,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,599.88	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+4.0wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chelsea FC	47c	26,440$12,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,503.35	219	47%103 W · 116 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Chelsea FC	49c	19,566$9,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,590.09	1,190	32.5%387 W · 803 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Chelsea FC	53c	18,460$9,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,866.84	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	64cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b77…9ec3backed Chelsea FC	53c	10,933$5,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,744.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Chelsea FC	39c	8,549$3,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,374.29	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Luton Town FC	50c	6,749$3,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,370.49	1,305	42.4%553 W · 752 L	-28.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC	47c	6,092$2,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,877.83	4,874	41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Chelsea FC	44c	5,915$2,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,591.48	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…bb8abacked Luton Town FC	48c	5,000$2,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,620	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Chelsea FC	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Luton Town FC	53c	3,500$1,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Luton Town FC	51c	3,095$1,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,528.78	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Chelsea FC	49c	3,087$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.14	1,012	36%364 W · 648 L	-20.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Luton Town FC	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590	741	50.9%377 W · 364 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86a…f802backed Chelsea FC	49c	2,973$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Chelsea FC	46c	2,305$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.37	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Luton Town FC	53c	2,180$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,022.25	1,358	48.3%656 W · 702 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Luton Town FC	53c	2,097$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.78	214	38.8%83 W · 131 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Luton Town FC	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Chelsea FC	52c	1,954$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.32	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Chelsea FC	52c	1,730$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Luton Town FC	49c	1,693$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.88	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Luton Town FC	50c	1,132$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked Luton Town FC	50c	1,100$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Chelsea FC	52c	1,053$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.41	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-5.5wins	-0.42per pick	50cpaid	-84.9%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Luton Town FC	52c	1,014$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.96	60	50%30 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed Luton Town FC	47c	995.3$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Chelsea FC	47c	942.64$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.88	583	48.5%283 W · 300 L	+21.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Chelsea FC	53c	916.29$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Chelsea FC	20c	850.55$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.11	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.35per pick	37cpaid	+122.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Chelsea FC	53c	831.91$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.91	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Luton Town FC	53c	792.45$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.45	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Luton Town FC	53c	671.11$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.07	643	47.7%307 W · 336 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Chelsea FC	47c	622.81$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.01	877	48.2%423 W · 454 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Luton Town FC	54c	610$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.6	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chelsea FC	43c	475$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.68	660	32.9%217 W · 443 L	-32.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Luton Town FC	52c	434.83$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.95	1,786	34.9%623 W · 1,163 L	-34.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Chelsea FC	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Chelsea FC	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Chelsea FC	47c	311.11$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.22	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+4.5wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Chelsea FC	47c	255$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.85	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Chelsea FC	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Luton Town FC	56c	212.5$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.5	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Chelsea FC	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Luton Town FC	49c	203.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Chelsea FC	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Luton Town FC	50c	199.99$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Luton Town FC	53c	199.57$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.4	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Chelsea FC	47c	189.82$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.81	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Luton Town FC	52c	180.85$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.3	347	39.2%136 W · 211 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Luton Town FC	52c	177.47$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.13	1,707	52.8%902 W · 805 L	+31.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Chelsea FC	47c	172$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.5	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Luton Town FC	47c	158$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.74	585	51.6%302 W · 283 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d43…8bcdbacked Luton Town FC	48c	145.83$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.83	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Luton Town FC	54c	143$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.78	105	29.5%31 W · 74 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Chelsea FC	46c	142.47$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.54	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Luton Town FC	59c	136.59$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	250	44%110 W · 140 L	+14.3wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Chelsea FC	41c	136.59$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Luton Town FC	53c	135.31$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.04	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde7a…17e1backed Chelsea FC	53c	126.62$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Luton Town FC	57c	114$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.46	146	49.3%72 W · 74 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Chelsea FC	55c	112.47$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.86	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Chelsea FC	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a8…dab3backed Luton Town FC	49c	101.9$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.97	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Luton Town FC	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chelsea FC	53c	95.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	660	40%264 W · 396 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Chelsea FC	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Luton Town FC	56c	80$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.2	108	63%68 W · 40 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb18…6f32backed Chelsea FC	47c	74.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…a8a9backed Luton Town FC	71c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.3	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13b8…2348backed Luton Town FC	49c	56.94$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.04	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d34…e052backed Chelsea FC	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e06…362cbacked Chelsea FC	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Chelsea FC	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Luton Town FC	53c	52.29$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.58	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-11.3wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x775e…e94abacked Chelsea FC	47c	51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Luton Town FC	47c	47.96$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.46	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7541…963ebacked Chelsea FC	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Chelsea FC	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	142	21.8%31 W · 111 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Luton Town FC	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Luton Town FC	52c	39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	82	61%50 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Chelsea FC	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Luton Town FC	47c	37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.71	1,943	42.5%826 W · 1,117 L	-41.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…5ae1backed Chelsea FC	41c	36.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Chelsea FC	54c	35.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Luton Town FC	56c	33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Chelsea FC	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Chelsea FC	48c	29.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Chelsea FC	48c	29.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	66	31.8%21 W · 45 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Chelsea FC	48c	29.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Chelsea FC	44c	27.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-44%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Chelsea FC	47c	27.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Luton Town FC	54c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Chelsea FC	46c	26.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Luton Town FC	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Chelsea FC	52c	20.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	121	48.8%59 W · 62 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…8ff3backed Chelsea FC	53c	20.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)this page
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC O/U 2.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Luton Town FC O/U 0.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Luton Town FC O/U 1.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event