TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utah Tech Trailblazersof Utah Tech Trailblazers, Abilene Christian Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats42c3,647$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.795,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers74c2,034$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.811,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats12c1,800$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6816746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Utah Tech Trailblazers68c1,600$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6143450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats31c1,043$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.993426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah Tech Trailblazers63c799.26$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.413,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats34c630.24$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.031,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Tech Trailblazers56c535.72$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.862,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers51c422.19$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.771,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Utah Tech Trailblazers57c420.99$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Abilene Christian Wildcats25c362.88$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.722,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats39c352.15$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats9c308.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.243,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats25c267.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.781,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Utah Tech Trailblazers61c236$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9322050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Abilene Christian Wildcats40c213.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers55c191$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.461,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers41c146.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.324,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Utah Tech Trailblazers54c128.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5336942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Utah Tech Trailblazers42c94.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats58c94.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.82,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Utah Tech Trailblazers63c86.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2910252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Abilene Christian Wildcats59c82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.382,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Utah Tech Trailblazers50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats57c73.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.822552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats16c64.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.249134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Abilene Christian Wildcats28c59.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.579545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Abilene Christian Wildcats58c49.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.989353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Tech Trailblazers66c48.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.471,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Abilene Christian Wildcats25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Utah Tech Trailblazers42c29.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0658345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Abilene Christian Wildcats59c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.572,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Utah Tech Trailblazers69c22.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Utah Tech Trailblazers53c22.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4829954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Utah Tech Trailblazers68c22.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0694036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf739…8167backed Abilene Christian Wildcats59c17.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.