Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd17ba90972665dab699399fcd0a9b5b565368e98e06c92e09b97389a65e85e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof Cincinnati Bearcats, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,725 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 55c | 1,632$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.36 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 6c | 1,556$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 660.89$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 46c | 539.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 459.93$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 46c | 396.53$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 361.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 57c | 345.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 328.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 21c | 325.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 301.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 44c | 296.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 55c | 269.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 260.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed TCU Horned Frogs | 69c | 226.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 198.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 184.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 172.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 163.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 159.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 146.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 41c | 146.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 21c | 139.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 128.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 117.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ec76backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 36c | 111.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 103.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 99.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 99.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 19c | 93.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed TCU Horned Frogs | 61c | 78.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 22c | 67.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 55c | 67.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 40c | 67.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 67.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 63.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 60.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 24c | 49.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 40c | 48.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 29c | 47.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 40c | 38.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed TCU Horned Frogs | 70c | 35.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 34.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 31.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 65c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 72c | 30.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 25.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 45c | 24.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 20.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…d45fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed TCU Horned Frogs | 78c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. TCU Horned Frogsthis page
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-1.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-2.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.