Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd340d3a8e494b68a86118e544a1e28b0cbd0fe2045a60d036df19aab1fce6b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 32c | 785.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 546.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 3c | 409.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 70c | 401.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 28c | 397.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 60c | 346.45$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…ca3abacked No | 54c | 324.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 31c | 321.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 77c | 318.44$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.42 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…4209backed No | 76c | 307.41$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 21c | 298.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 246.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 19c | 222.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 24c | 207.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed No | 72c | 199.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…c58bbacked No | 77c | 181.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 34c | 177.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 177.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 18c | 177.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 27c | 176.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 14c | 155.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 153$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed Yes | 76c | 144.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 18c | 141.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 135.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…8dadbacked Yes | 29c | 135.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…c199backed Yes | 28c | 118.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed Yes | 67c | 115$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 39c | 113$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 35c | 112.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 11c | 109.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed Yes | 47c | 105.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a338backed Yes | 21c | 100.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +29.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 98.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 30c | 85.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked Yes | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 71c | 79.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 74c | 77.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 29c | 75.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1b4fbacked Yes | 28c | 72.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 29c | 69.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 66.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…62bcbacked Yes | 76c | 64.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 64c | 59.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 58.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 26c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…e5d4backed No | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 74c | 53.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…7455backed Yes | 31c | 52.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 45.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 42.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 42.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 43c | 40.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…b9d1backed No | 78c | 40.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 27c | 40.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 28c | 37.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…0b15backed Yes | 32c | 37.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 35.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 43c | 35.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 78c | 35.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 68c | 33.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 33c | 33.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…d779backed Yes | 72c | 31.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 72c | 29.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…2e62backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…9373backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 46c | 27.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 72c | 26.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 66c | 22.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 60c | 20.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 67c | 15.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.