MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd717524223a0bd26b723cb501f5a587e797c74c339cd14e6083d96005eee27f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 9,466$5,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.83 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed New York Yankees | 40c | 8,826$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.67 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 40c | 7,165$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 7,151$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.37 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 6,225$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.78 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 5,272$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.49 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 39c | 5,123$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 40c | 3,701$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 3,003$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,655$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.71 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed New York Yankees | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.27 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 43c | 1,695$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.15 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees | 40c | 1,387$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.63 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 37c | 932.67$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.01 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 41c | 836.53$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 820$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees | 40c | 525.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.3 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 484.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.94 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 32c | 463.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 353.95$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 263.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 39c | 254.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 244.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 217.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 42c | 197.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees | 41c | 163$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 140$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 137$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 39c | 116$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed New York Yankees | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees | 42c | 104.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 31c | 102.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked New York Yankees | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cbcdbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Yankees | 26c | 67.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed New York Yankees | 41c | 66.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed New York Yankees | 42c | 63.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 62.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 61.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…16cbbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed New York Yankees | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 40.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 35.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Yankees | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 31.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 31.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed New York Yankees | 34c | 30.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Yankees | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d14…6498backed New York Yankees | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed New York Yankees | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed New York Yankees | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…f999backed New York Yankees | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 23.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.