Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ad31810c96d59143b82d8d4610168fc41feea426a99a221ba8ab43e522c4dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Geertsof Michael Geerts, Billy Blaydes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Billy Blaydes | 28c | 10,810$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.4 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Billy Blaydes | 43c | 7,838$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.14 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Michael Geerts | 71c | 4,859$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.15 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Michael Geerts | 76c | 4,848$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.79 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Geerts | 66c | 3,444$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michael Geerts | 72c | 3,226$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Billy Blaydes | 21c | 1,994$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Michael Geerts | 68c | 1,968$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.72 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Michael Geerts | 61c | 1,510$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.13 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Michael Geerts | 71c | 1,366$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.03 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Billy Blaydes | 16c | 1,280$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Billy Blaydes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Billy Blaydes | 21c | 743.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Michael Geerts | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Michael Geerts | 74c | 667.62$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Michael Geerts | 75c | 619.29$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Billy Blaydes | 9c | 566.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Michael Geerts | 58c | 513.28$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.91 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Billy Blaydes | 12c | 419.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Michael Geerts | 72c | 325.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Michael Geerts | 70c | 316.93$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Billy Blaydes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Billy Blaydes | 28c | 290$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Billy Blaydes | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Michael Geerts | 55c | 263$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Billy Blaydes | 16c | 262.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Billy Blaydes | 35c | 258.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Michael Geerts | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Michael Geerts | 62c | 224.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Billy Blaydes | 39c | 216.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Michael Geerts | 75c | 200.03$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Billy Blaydes | 20c | 196.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Billy Blaydes | 26c | 190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Michael Geerts | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Billy Blaydes | 26c | 179.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Michael Geerts | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Michael Geerts | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Billy Blaydes | 36c | 159.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Michael Geerts | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Billy Blaydes | 40c | 140.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 301 | 50.2%151 W · 150 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Billy Blaydes | 33c | 129.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Geerts | 74c | 127.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Michael Geerts | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Michael Geerts | 58c | 119$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Billy Blaydes | 43c | 109.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Michael Geerts | 75c | 107.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Michael Geerts | 68c | 93.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Michael Geerts | 58c | 89.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Michael Geerts | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603c…c15cbacked Billy Blaydes | 25c | 62.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Michael Geerts | 62c | 62.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…38c3backed Billy Blaydes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Billy Blaydes | 41c | 56.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Billy Blaydes | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Michael Geerts | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Billy Blaydes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Billy Blaydes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Billy Blaydes | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…5f8cbacked Michael Geerts | 63c | 40.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Billy Blaydes | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Billy Blaydes | 36c | 37.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Michael Geerts | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Michael Geerts | 68c | 35.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Michael Geerts | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Billy Blaydes | 38c | 34.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Michael Geerts | 69c | 34.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Michael Geerts | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Michael Geerts | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Michael Geerts | 59c | 30.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Billy Blaydes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Michael Geerts | 62c | 24.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Michael Geerts | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Michael Geerts | 68c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Michael Geerts | 68c | 23.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Michael Geerts | 80c | 21.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Michael Geerts | 75c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydesthis page
- Roehampton: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Billy BlaydesYes won
- Set 1 Winner: Geerts vs BlaydesGeerts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.