MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd81f868a50e1e4ab807c66f1a250b1a1f23b10a5e6fae3ad06a4343dd4da12e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof LG Twins, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 63c | 5,073$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.22 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 35c | 4,272$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.61 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked SSG Landers | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.41 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 57c | 689.1$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.41 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 35c | 674.59$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed SSG Landers | 41c | 574.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.36 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed SSG Landers | 44c | 457.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.67 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 69c | 372.1$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.48 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 52c | 361.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed LG Twins | 55c | 343.18$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked SSG Landers | 38c | 335.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.65 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 48c | 334.69$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 55c | 273.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked LG Twins | 56c | 266.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed LG Twins | 65c | 264.74$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 55c | 227.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed SSG Landers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed LG Twins | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed LG Twins | 55c | 194.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 55c | 159.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed SSG Landers | 42c | 128.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SSG Landers | 38c | 114.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked SSG Landers | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 55c | 109.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…1c7abacked LG Twins | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked LG Twins | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked LG Twins | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed SSG Landers | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked LG Twins | 52c | 97.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 47c | 97.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 54c | 93.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed LG Twins | 56c | 79.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LG Twins | 50c | 71.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked LG Twins | 33c | 58.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed LG Twins | 50c | 53.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed SSG Landers | 48c | 51.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed SSG Landers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed LG Twins | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked SSG Landers | 52c | 49.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa3…4899backed LG Twins | 56c | 44.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 46c | 39.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed LG Twins | 49c | 39.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed SSG Landers | 48c | 38.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LG Twins | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed LG Twins | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed SSG Landers | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 56c | 30.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed LG Twins | 53c | 28.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed LG Twins | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed LG Twins | 54c | 25.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 54c | 25.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…8c6ebacked SSG Landers | 47c | 23.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked LG Twins | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 54c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed LG Twins | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked LG Twins | 58c | 17.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.