Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd86c08982131fa678b20833bbec788c97de3248ace616619393b0f7e42a38abf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 30c | 5,353$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 3,072$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.77 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 2,492$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.43 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes | 77c | 2,370$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 1,714$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.25 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 1,078$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.43 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 25c | 1,010$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.62 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 913.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.37 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 798.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.72 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 36c | 661.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 79c | 518.03$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 67c | 474.18$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 75c | 376.41$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 303$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 299$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 22c | 255.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 25c | 222.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 25c | 222.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 217.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 58c | 202.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 171.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 21c | 158$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 25c | 155$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 25c | 151.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 25c | 149$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 146$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 20c | 133.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked No | 75c | 130.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 24c | 116.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 26c | 95.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Yes | 25c | 94.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 75c | 93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 25c | 90.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 14c | 80.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Yes | 50c | 75.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 18c | 61.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 65c | 36.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed Yes | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…1597backed Yes | 80c | 24.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 20.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.